Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: George Mason 89%, VCU 11% at George Mason.
George Mason's win probability against VCU is trending down — from 85% to 81% over the last 6 updates.
George Mason's win probability against VCU is trending down — from 88% to 85% over the last 6 updates.
George Mason's win probability against VCU has held at 89% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.