Dayton vs Florida St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Florida St by 7.34
TOTAL POINTS
150
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Florida St
Dayton 
|
84
B
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
89
B+
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
95
A
|
Offensive |
87
B+
|
|
73
C-
|
Defensive |
73
C-
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
85
B
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Florida St
Dayton
| 142 | Overall | 134 |
| 91 | Power | 159 |
| 41 | Offensive | 110 |
| 243 | Defensive | 241 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 62 | SoS (Full Season) | 129 |
Florida St#14268%
Dayton#13432%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Florida St 68%, Dayton 32% at a neutral site.
Florida St's win probability against Dayton has held at 62% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Florida St's win probability against Dayton has held at 68% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Florida St's win probability against Dayton has held at 74% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Florida St favored
Dayton favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Dayton | Neutral | At Florida St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 69% | 75% | 80% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 67% | 72% | 78% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 64% | 70% | 76% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 64% | 70% | 76% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 65% | 70% | 76% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 64% | 70% | 76% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 64% | 70% | 76% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 62% | 68% | 74% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Florida St
Dayton
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
10-21 (32.3%) |
Overall |
17-14 (54.8%) |
|
6-11 (35.3%) |
Home |
8-6 (57.1%) |
|
3-8 (27.3%) |
Away |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
0-6 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-19 (13.6%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
7-2 (77.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-6 (66.7%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Florida St
Dayton
| #65 Ga Southern | Best Win | #48 Kansas |
| #100 Georgia Tech | Worst Loss | #221 St Louis |
| 73 pts vs #318 Florida A&M | Largest MOV | 42 pts vs #288 Mercyhurst |
| 35 pts vs #17 Notre Dame | Largest MOD | 37 pts vs #87 Purdue |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Florida St
Dayton
| 71.5 | Points per Game | 67 |
| 77.1 | Points Against | 67.5 |
| 73.7 | Home PPG | 69.4 |
| 73.9 | Home PA | 66.9 |
| 66.2 | Away PPG | 64 |
| 79.7 | Away PA | 66.7 |
| 601-424 | Opponent Record | 496-501 |
| 97.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 164.8 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Florida St
Dayton
| Mar 4 | Georgia Tech (14-19) | L60-72 | Mar 6 | George Mason (23-10) | L85-87 |
| Mar 1 | at Wake Forest (14-18) | W77-74 | Mar 5 | G Washington (17-18) | W62-54 |
| Feb 26 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L52-80 | Feb 28 | vs VCU (8-23) | W79-62 |
| Feb 22 | vs Stanford (21-14) | L61-77 | Feb 25 | at Loyola-Chicago (16-18) | W67-58 |
| Feb 19 | vs California (21-15) | L62-75 | Feb 21 | at Davidson (21-12) | L67-79 |
| Feb 15 | at #14 Louisville (29-8) | L65-88 | Feb 14 | vs St Louis (11-21) | W65-63 |
| Feb 12 | vs Boston College (5-26) | W85-76 | Feb 11 | vs George Mason (23-10) | L61-72 |
| Feb 8 | vs Miami FL (18-15) | W87-70 | Feb 7 | at St Joseph's PA (18-11) | W75-73 |
| Feb 5 | at NC State (21-11) | L55-83 | Feb 4 | at La Salle (18-14) | W68-60 |
| Feb 1 | at Clemson (21-12) | L58-77 | Feb 1 | vs G Washington (17-18) | L54-66 |