Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Davidson 67%, Dayton 33% at Dayton.
Davidson's win probability against Dayton has held at 67% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Davidson's win probability against Dayton is trending down — from 75% to 72% over the last 6 updates.
Davidson's win probability against Dayton is trending down — from 80% to 77% over the last 6 updates.