Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Kansas St 66%, Cincinnati 34% at Cincinnati.
Kansas St's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 66% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Kansas St's win probability against Cincinnati is trending down — from 74% to 71% over the last 6 updates.
Kansas St's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 77% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.