Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: BYU 87%, Idaho St 13% at BYU.
BYU's win probability against Idaho St has held at 79% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
BYU's win probability against Idaho St has held at 84% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
BYU's win probability against Idaho St has held at 87% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.