Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 17), 2026-27: Denver 58%, Indiana 42% at a neutral site.
Denver's win probability against Indiana is trending down — from 75% to 52% over the last 6 updates.
Denver's win probability against Indiana is trending down — from 80% to 58% over the last 6 updates.
Denver's win probability against Indiana is trending down — from 84% to 64% over the last 6 updates.