Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
San Francisco
Tampa Bay
|
64
D
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
68
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
90
A-
6099
|
|
San Francisco
6099
Tampa Bay
6099
|
||
|
69
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
San Francisco
6099
Tampa Bay
6099
|
||
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
71
C-
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
75
C
|
San Francisco
Tampa Bay
| 27 | Overall | 3 |
| 24 | Power | 7 |
| 24 | Offensive | 8 |
| 23 | Defensive | 7 |
| 7 | SoS (Current) | 22 |
| 6 | SoS (Future) | 19 |
Wk 26 (Sep 15), 2026: Tampa Bay 59%, San Francisco 41% at Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay's win probability against San Francisco has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against San Francisco has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against San Francisco has held at 59% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At San Francisco | Neutral | At Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 1 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 2 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 3 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 4 | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Wk 5 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 6 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 7 | 61% | 64% | 66% |
| Wk 8 | 62% | 64% | 67% |
| Wk 9 | 64% | 66% | 69% |
| Wk 10 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 11 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 12 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 13 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 14 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 15 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 16 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 17 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 18 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 19 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 20 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 21 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 22 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 23 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 24 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 25 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 26 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
San Francisco
Tampa Bay
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
62-89 (41.1%) |
Overall |
90-59 (60.4%) |
|
36-39 (48%) |
Home |
50-25 (66.7%) |
|
26-50 (34.2%) |
Away |
40-34 (54.1%) |
|
13-13 (50%) |
Versus Top 5 |
9-9 (50%) |
|
32-50 (39%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
35-23 (60.3%) |
|
30-39 (43.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
55-36 (60.4%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
San Francisco
Tampa Bay
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 15 runs vs #6 Chi Cubs | Largest MOV | 11 runs vs #26 Kansas City |
| 14 runs vs #1 Milwaukee | Largest MOD | 11 runs vs #29 LA Angels |
San Francisco
Tampa Bay
| 4.2 | Runs per Game | 4.6 |
| 4.7 | Runs Against | 4.1 |
| 4.2 | Home RPG | 4.6 |
| 4.5 | Home RA | 4.1 |
| 4.2 | Away RPG | 4.5 |
| 4.9 | Away RA | 4.1 |
| 11441-11259 | Opponent Record | 11092-11320 |
| 14.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 16.2 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | W 3 |
San Francisco
Tampa Bay
| Sep 14 | at St. Louis (75-76) | L1-2 | Sep 13 | vs Houston (75-75) | W14-4 |
| Sep 13 | vs San Diego (82-68) | L4-6 | Sep 12 | vs Houston (75-75) | W3-2 |
| Sep 12 | vs San Diego (82-68) | L6-7 | Sep 11 | vs Houston (75-75) | W3-1 |
| Sep 11 | vs San Diego (82-68) | L5-7 | Sep 10 | at #4 Atlanta (88-63) | L1-3 |
| Sep 9 | vs St. Louis (75-76) | W7-6 | Sep 9 | at #4 Atlanta (88-63) | W7-2 |
| Sep 8 | vs St. Louis (75-76) | W2-1 | Sep 8 | at #4 Atlanta (88-63) | W7-1 |
| Sep 7 | vs St. Louis (75-76) | W5-4 | Sep 6 | at Texas (74-76) | L6-8 |
| Sep 6 | at NY Mets (69-81) | L2-4 | Sep 5 | at Texas (74-76) | W6-3 |
| Sep 5 | at NY Mets (69-81) | W9-5 | Sep 4 | at Texas (74-76) | W7-6 |
| Sep 4 | at NY Mets (69-81) | L6-10 | Sep 3 | at Texas (74-76) | L0-6 |
vs
Major League Baseball