Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Detroit
Tampa Bay
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
90
A-
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
83
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
90
A-
6099
|
|
Detroit
6099
Tampa Bay
6099
|
||
|
92
A-
6099
|
Defensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Detroit
6099
Tampa Bay
6099
|
||
|
65
D
|
SoS (Current) |
71
C-
|
|
68
D+
|
SoS (Future) |
75
C
|
Detroit
Tampa Bay
| 22 | Overall | 3 |
| 8 | Power | 7 |
| 13 | Offensive | 8 |
| 6 | Defensive | 7 |
| 26 | SoS (Current) | 22 |
| 24 | SoS (Future) | 19 |
Wk 26 (Sep 15), 2026: Tampa Bay 53%, Detroit 47% at Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Detroit is trending up — from 45% to 48% over the last 6 weeks.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Detroit has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Detroit has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Detroit | Neutral | At Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 1 | 25% | 27% | 29% |
| Wk 2 | 44% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 3 | 43% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 4 | 40% | 43% | 46% |
| Wk 5 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 6 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 7 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 8 | 55% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 9 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 10 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 11 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 12 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 13 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 14 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 15 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 16 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 17 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 18 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 19 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 20 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 21 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 22 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 23 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 24 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 25 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 26 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
Detroit
Tampa Bay
|
4-2 (66.7%) |
Head to Head |
2-4 (33.3%) |
|
71-79 (47.3%) |
Overall |
90-59 (60.4%) |
|
39-36 (52%) |
Home |
50-25 (66.7%) |
|
32-43 (42.7%) |
Away |
40-34 (54.1%) |
|
12-9 (57.1%) |
Versus Top 5 |
9-9 (50%) |
|
28-44 (38.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
35-23 (60.3%) |
|
43-35 (55.1%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
55-36 (60.4%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Detroit
Tampa Bay
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #29 LA Angels | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 14 runs vs #17 Baltimore | Largest MOV | 11 runs vs #26 Kansas City |
| 13 runs vs #24 Minnesota | Largest MOD | 11 runs vs #29 LA Angels |
Detroit
Tampa Bay
| 4.5 | Runs per Game | 4.6 |
| 4 | Runs Against | 4.1 |
| 4.4 | Home RPG | 4.6 |
| 3.7 | Home RA | 4.1 |
| 4.5 | Away RPG | 4.5 |
| 4.3 | Away RA | 4.1 |
| 11163-11378 | Opponent Record | 11092-11320 |
| 16.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 16.2 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| W 5 | Current Streak | W 3 |
Detroit
Tampa Bay
| Sep 14 | at Toronto (75-76) | W6-5 | Sep 13 | vs Houston (75-75) | W14-4 |
| Sep 13 | vs Colorado (55-95) | W8-1 | Sep 12 | vs Houston (75-75) | W3-2 |
| Sep 12 | vs Colorado (55-95) | W11-7 | Sep 11 | vs Houston (75-75) | W3-1 |
| Sep 11 | vs Colorado (55-95) | W6-2 | Sep 10 | at #4 Atlanta (88-63) | L1-3 |
| Sep 9 | vs Minnesota (70-80) | W7-2 | Sep 9 | at #4 Atlanta (88-63) | W7-2 |
| Sep 8 | vs Minnesota (70-80) | L2-3 | Sep 8 | at #4 Atlanta (88-63) | W7-1 |
| Sep 7 | vs Minnesota (70-80) | W5-4 | Sep 6 | at Texas (74-76) | L6-8 |
| Sep 6 | at Cleveland (76-75) | L2-3 | Sep 5 | at Texas (74-76) | W6-3 |
| Sep 5 | at Cleveland (76-75) | W6-0 | Sep 4 | at Texas (74-76) | W7-6 |
| Sep 4 | at Cleveland (76-75) | L3-4 | Sep 3 | at Texas (74-76) | L0-6 |
vs
Major League Baseball