Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
New York
St. Louis
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
77
C+
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
76
C
|
|
75
C
6099
|
Offensive |
77
C+
6099
|
|
New York
6099
St. Louis
6099
|
||
|
77
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
76
C
6099
|
|
New York
6099
St. Louis
6099
|
||
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
95
A
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
95
A
|
New York
St. Louis
| 22 | Overall | 17 |
| 17 | Power | 18 |
| 19 | Offensive | 17 |
| 17 | Defensive | 18 |
| 2 | SoS (Current) | 4 |
| 2 | SoS (Full Season) | 4 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: St. Louis 53%, NY Mets 47% at St. Louis.
St. Louis' win probability against NY Mets has held at 47% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
St. Louis' win probability against NY Mets has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
St. Louis' win probability against NY Mets has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At NY Mets | Neutral | At St. Louis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 43% | 46% | 48% |
| Wk 4 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 5 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 6 | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Wk 7 | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Wk 8 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 9 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 10 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 11 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 12 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 13 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 14 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 15 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 16 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 17 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 18 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 19 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 20 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 21 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 22 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 23 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 24 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 25 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 26 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 27 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 28 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 29 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 30 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 31 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 32 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
New York
St. Louis
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
74-88 (45.7%) |
Overall |
77-85 (47.5%) |
|
36-45 (44.4%) |
Home |
38-43 (46.9%) |
|
38-43 (46.9%) |
Away |
39-42 (48.1%) |
|
15-19 (44.1%) |
Versus Top 5 |
14-17 (45.2%) |
|
35-46 (43.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
41-45 (47.7%) |
|
39-42 (48.1%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
36-40 (47.4%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
2-8 (20%) |
New York
St. Louis
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 11 runs vs #4 Atlanta | Largest MOV | 16 runs vs #7 Chi Cubs |
| 12 runs vs #8 Philadelphia | Largest MOD | 12 runs vs #15 Baltimore |
New York
St. Louis
| 4.3 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 4.5 | Runs Against | 4.6 |
| 4.1 | Home RPG | 3.8 |
| 4.5 | Home RA | 4.6 |
| 4.5 | Away RPG | 5.1 |
| 4.5 | Away RA | 4.6 |
| 13583-13096 | Opponent Record | 13632-13074 |
| 13.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 13.9 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 4 |
New York
St. Louis
| Sep 27 | at Washington (77-85) | L4-6 | Sep 27 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L4-6 |
| Sep 26 | at Washington (77-85) | W7-1 | Sep 26 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L2-3 |
| Sep 25 | at Washington (77-85) | L6-7 | Sep 25 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L4-8 |
| Sep 24 | at Texas (80-82) | L1-3 | Sep 24 | at Pittsburgh (82-80) | L1-2 |
| Sep 23 | at Texas (80-82) | W7-2 | Sep 23 | at Pittsburgh (82-80) | W5-1 |
| Sep 22 | at Texas (80-82) | W6-3 | Sep 22 | at Pittsburgh (82-80) | L0-2 |
| Sep 20 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L2-7 | Sep 20 | vs Washington (77-85) | W5-3 |
| Sep 19 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W10-3 | Sep 19 | vs Washington (77-85) | L5-8 |
| Sep 18 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W6-3 | Sep 18 | vs Washington (77-85) | L1-9 |
| Sep 17 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L0-3 | Sep 16 | vs San Francisco (65-97) | L5-6 |