NY Mets at Philadelphia Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
RUN SPREAD
Philadelphia by 0.48
TOTAL RUNS
8.72
UPDATED
Thursday, October 15, 2026
See this week's MLB predictions
RATINGS
New York
Philadelphia 
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
90
A-
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
75
C
|
Offensive |
76
C
|
|
77
C+
|
Defensive |
86
B
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Future) |
86
B
|
RANKINGS
New York
Philadelphia
| 22 | Overall | 8 |
| 17 | Power | 12 |
| 19 | Offensive | 18 |
| 17 | Defensive | 11 |
| 2 | SoS (Current) | 11 |
| 2 | SoS (Future) | 11 |
Philadelphia#854%
NY Mets#2246%Wk 30 (Oct 15), 2026: Philadelphia 54%, NY Mets 46% at Philadelphia.
Philadelphia's win probability against NY Mets has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Philadelphia's win probability against NY Mets has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Philadelphia's win probability against NY Mets has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Philadelphia favored
NY Mets favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At NY Mets | Neutral | At Philadelphia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 2 | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Wk 3 | 34% | 36% | 39% |
| Wk 4 | 41% | 43% | 46% |
| Wk 5 | 41% | 44% | 46% |
| Wk 6 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 7 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 8 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 9 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 10 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 11 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 12 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 13 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 14 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 15 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 16 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 17 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 18 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 19 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 20 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 21 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 22 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 23 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 24 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 25 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 26 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 27 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 28 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 29 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 30 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
RECORDS
New York
Philadelphia
|
6-7 (46.2%) |
Head to Head |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
74-88 (45.7%) |
Overall |
89-76 (53.9%) |
|
36-45 (44.4%) |
Home |
43-38 (53.1%) |
|
38-43 (46.9%) |
Away |
46-38 (54.8%) |
|
15-19 (44.1%) |
Versus Top 5 |
11-23 (32.4%) |
|
35-46 (43.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
31-38 (44.9%) |
|
39-42 (48.1%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
58-38 (60.4%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
New York
Philadelphia
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 11 runs vs #4 Atlanta | Largest MOV | 12 runs vs #22 NY Mets |
| 12 runs vs #8 Philadelphia | Largest MOD | 14 runs vs #26 Kansas City |
OTHER STATISTICS
New York
Philadelphia
| 4.3 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 4.5 | Runs Against | 4.3 |
| 4.1 | Home RPG | 4.8 |
| 4.5 | Home RA | 4.6 |
| 4.5 | Away RPG | 4 |
| 4.5 | Away RA | 4 |
| 13538-13060 | Opponent Record | 13603-13451 |
| 13.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.7 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | L 10 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
New York
Philadelphia
| Sep 27 | at Washington (77-85) | L4-6 | Oct 1 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-6 |
| Sep 26 | at Washington (77-85) | W7-1 | Sep 30 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W4-3 |
| Sep 25 | at Washington (77-85) | L6-7 | Sep 29 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-5 |
| Sep 24 | at Texas (80-82) | L1-3 | Sep 27 | vs #2 Tampa Bay (102-65) | W7-3 |
| Sep 23 | at Texas (80-82) | W7-2 | Sep 26 | vs #2 Tampa Bay (102-65) | L1-12 |
| Sep 22 | at Texas (80-82) | W6-3 | Sep 25 | vs #2 Tampa Bay (102-65) | L0-2 |
| Sep 20 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L2-7 | Sep 24 | vs #1 Milwaukee (109-60) | L1-5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W10-3 | Sep 23 | vs #1 Milwaukee (109-60) | L1-4 |
| Sep 18 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W6-3 | Sep 22 | vs #1 Milwaukee (109-60) | W6-4 |
| Sep 17 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L0-3 | Sep 20 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-2 |