Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Philadelphia
Chicago
|
90
A-
|
Overall |
91
A-
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
76
C
6099
|
Offensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
Philadelphia
6099
Chicago
6099
|
||
|
86
B
6099
|
Defensive |
87
B+
6099
|
|
Philadelphia
6099
Chicago
6099
|
||
|
84
B
|
SoS (Current) |
87
B+
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
87
B+
|
Philadelphia
Chicago
| 8 | Overall | 7 |
| 12 | Power | 3 |
| 18 | Offensive | 2 |
| 11 | Defensive | 10 |
| 12 | SoS (Current) | 10 |
| 12 | SoS (Full Season) | 10 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Chi Cubs 53%, Philadelphia 47% at Philadelphia.
Chi Cubs' win probability against Philadelphia has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chi Cubs' win probability against Philadelphia has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chi Cubs' win probability against Philadelphia has held at 58% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Philadelphia | Neutral | At Chi Cubs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 69% | 71% | 73% |
| Wk 4 | 73% | 76% | 78% |
| Wk 5 | 72% | 74% | 77% |
| Wk 6 | 65% | 68% | 70% |
| Wk 7 | 66% | 69% | 71% |
| Wk 8 | 62% | 64% | 67% |
| Wk 9 | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Wk 10 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 11 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 12 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 13 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 14 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 15 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 16 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 17 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 18 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 19 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 20 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 21 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 22 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 23 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 24 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 25 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 26 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 27 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 28 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 29 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 30 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 31 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 32 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
Philadelphia
Chicago
|
1-6 (14.3%) |
Head to Head |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
89-76 (53.9%) |
Overall |
89-75 (54.3%) |
|
43-38 (53.1%) |
Home |
46-35 (56.8%) |
|
46-38 (54.8%) |
Away |
43-40 (51.8%) |
|
11-23 (32.4%) |
Versus Top 5 |
14-17 (45.2%) |
|
31-38 (44.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
41-36 (53.2%) |
|
58-38 (60.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
48-39 (55.2%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Philadelphia
Chicago
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 12 runs vs #22 NY Mets | Largest MOV | 20 runs vs #6 San Diego |
| 14 runs vs #26 Kansas City | Largest MOD | 16 runs vs #17 St. Louis |
Philadelphia
Chicago
| 4.4 | Runs per Game | 5.2 |
| 4.3 | Runs Against | 4.4 |
| 4.8 | Home RPG | 5.2 |
| 4.6 | Home RA | 4.5 |
| 4 | Away RPG | 5.1 |
| 4 | Away RA | 4.3 |
| 13648-13487 | Opponent Record | 13704-13330 |
| 14.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.4 |
| L 10 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Philadelphia
Chicago
| Oct 1 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-6 | Sep 30 | at San Diego (94-74) | L1-4 |
| Sep 30 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W4-3 | Sep 29 | at San Diego (94-74) | L0-8 |
| Sep 29 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-5 | Sep 27 | at Boston (87-77) | W6-2 |
| Sep 27 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W7-3 | Sep 25 | at Boston (87-77) | L0-2 |
| Sep 26 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L1-12 | Sep 25 | at Boston (87-77) | L3-4 |
| Sep 25 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L0-2 | Sep 24 | vs Miami (80-82) | W2-1 |
| Sep 24 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-5 | Sep 23 | vs Miami (80-82) | L2-3 |
| Sep 23 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-4 | Sep 22 | vs Miami (80-82) | L2-8 |
| Sep 22 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W6-4 | Sep 20 | at Cincinnati (75-87) | W9-1 |
| Sep 20 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-2 | Sep 19 | at Cincinnati (75-87) | W5-2 |