Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Texas
Miami
|
75
C
|
Overall |
82
B-
|
|
69
D+
|
Power |
80
B-
|
|
65
D
6099
|
Offensive |
80
B-
6099
|
|
Texas
6099
Miami
6099
|
||
|
75
C
6099
|
Defensive |
84
B
6099
|
|
Texas
6099
Miami
6099
|
||
|
61
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
61
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
Texas
Miami
| 19 | Overall | 14 |
| 23 | Power | 15 |
| 26 | Offensive | 15 |
| 19 | Defensive | 12 |
| 29 | SoS (Current) | 8 |
| 29 | SoS (Full Season) | 8 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Miami 56%, Texas 44% at Miami.
Miami's win probability against Texas has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Miami's win probability against Texas has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Miami's win probability against Texas has held at 56% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Texas | Neutral | At Miami |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 4 | 40% | 43% | 46% |
| Wk 5 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 6 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 7 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 8 | 43% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 9 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 10 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 11 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 12 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 13 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 14 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 15 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 16 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 17 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 18 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 19 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 20 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 21 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 22 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 23 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 24 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 25 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 26 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 27 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 28 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 29 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 30 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 31 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 32 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
Texas
Miami
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
80-82 (49.4%) |
Overall |
80-82 (49.4%) |
|
45-36 (55.6%) |
Home |
47-34 (58%) |
|
35-46 (43.2%) |
Away |
33-48 (40.7%) |
|
8-14 (36.4%) |
Versus Top 5 |
13-21 (38.2%) |
|
29-29 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
33-47 (41.3%) |
|
51-53 (49%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
47-35 (57.3%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Texas
Miami
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 10 runs vs #13 Chi White Sox | Largest MOV | 12 runs vs #4 Atlanta |
| 14 runs vs #4 Atlanta | Largest MOD | 12 runs vs #11 Pittsburgh |
Texas
Miami
| 4.2 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 4.4 | Runs Against | 4.4 |
| 4.1 | Home RPG | 4.5 |
| 4 | Home RA | 4 |
| 4.2 | Away RPG | 4.4 |
| 4.9 | Away RA | 4.8 |
| 12978-13645 | Opponent Record | 13517-13190 |
| 17.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.4 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | L 12 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
Texas
Miami
| Sep 27 | at Minnesota (77-85) | L4-6 | Sep 27 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W5-3 |
| Sep 26 | at Minnesota (77-85) | W6-2 | Sep 26 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-8 |
| Sep 25 | at Minnesota (77-85) | L2-10 | Sep 25 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W3-0 |
| Sep 24 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | W3-1 | Sep 24 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-2 |
| Sep 23 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | L2-7 | Sep 23 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W3-2 |
| Sep 22 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | L3-6 | Sep 22 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W8-2 |
| Sep 20 | vs Toronto (79-83) | L2-7 | Sep 20 | at San Diego (94-74) | L3-7 |
| Sep 19 | vs Toronto (79-83) | W6-2 | Sep 19 | at San Diego (94-74) | L6-7 |
| Sep 18 | vs Toronto (79-83) | W7-1 | Sep 18 | at San Diego (94-74) | L2-8 |
| Sep 17 | vs Boston (87-77) | L3-4 | Sep 16 | at Arizona (86-76) | W4-3 |