Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Kansas City
Cincinnati
|
65
D
|
Overall |
73
C-
|
|
64
D
|
Power |
63
D-
|
|
69
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
67
D+
6099
|
|
Kansas City
6099
Cincinnati
6099
|
||
|
64
D
6099
|
Defensive |
63
D-
6099
|
|
Kansas City
6099
Cincinnati
6099
|
||
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
99
A+
|
Kansas City
Cincinnati
| 26 | Overall | 20 |
| 27 | Power | 28 |
| 23 | Offensive | 25 |
| 27 | Defensive | 28 |
| 21 | SoS (Current) | 1 |
| 21 | SoS (Full Season) | 1 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Cincinnati 52%, Kansas City 48% at Cincinnati.
Cincinnati's win probability against Kansas City has held at 47% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Cincinnati's win probability against Kansas City has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Cincinnati's win probability against Kansas City has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Kansas City | Neutral | At Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 38% | 40% | 43% |
| Wk 4 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 5 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 6 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 7 | 40% | 43% | 45% |
| Wk 8 | 44% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 9 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 10 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 11 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 12 | 44% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 13 | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Wk 14 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 15 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 16 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 17 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 18 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 19 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 20 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 21 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 22 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 23 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 24 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 25 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 26 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 27 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 28 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 29 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 30 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 31 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 32 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
Kansas City
Cincinnati
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Head to Head |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
69-93 (42.6%) |
Overall |
75-87 (46.3%) |
|
41-40 (50.6%) |
Home |
38-43 (46.9%) |
|
28-53 (34.6%) |
Away |
37-44 (45.7%) |
|
4-18 (18.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
12-20 (37.5%) |
|
21-48 (30.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
36-52 (40.9%) |
|
48-45 (51.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
39-35 (52.7%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Kansas City
Cincinnati
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 14 runs vs #8 Philadelphia | Largest MOV | 14 runs vs #18 Washington |
| 21 runs vs #13 Chi White Sox | Largest MOD | 20 runs vs #1 Milwaukee |
Kansas City
Cincinnati
| 4.3 | Runs per Game | 4.1 |
| 5 | Runs Against | 5.1 |
| 4.9 | Home RPG | 4 |
| 5.1 | Home RA | 4.7 |
| 3.6 | Away RPG | 4.2 |
| 4.9 | Away RA | 5.5 |
| 13338-13397 | Opponent Record | 13724-13017 |
| 16.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 13.4 |
| W 9 | Longest Streak | L 8 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Kansas City
Cincinnati
| Sep 27 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W3-2 | Sep 27 | at Toronto (79-83) | L1-5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | L5-11 | Sep 26 | at Toronto (79-83) | W5-1 |
| Sep 25 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | L9-12 | Sep 25 | at Toronto (79-83) | L5-6 |
| Sep 24 | vs Chi White Sox (88-81) | L1-9 | Sep 24 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W7-6 |
| Sep 23 | vs Chi White Sox (88-81) | W5-4 | Sep 23 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-3 |
| Sep 22 | vs Chi White Sox (88-81) | L11-14 | Sep 22 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W4-0 |
| Sep 20 | at Pittsburgh (82-80) | L3-4 | Sep 20 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-9 |
| Sep 19 | at Pittsburgh (82-80) | L5-6 | Sep 19 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L2-5 |
| Sep 18 | at Pittsburgh (82-80) | L5-8 | Sep 18 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | W6-4 |
| Sep 17 | at Houston (81-83) | L2-6 | Sep 17 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L2-8 |