Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Cincinnati
Arizona
|
73
C-
|
Overall |
87
B+
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
67
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
87
B+
6099
|
|
Cincinnati
6099
Arizona
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
79
C+
6099
|
|
Cincinnati
6099
Arizona
6099
|
||
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
79
C+
|
Cincinnati
Arizona
| 20 | Overall | 10 |
| 28 | Power | 13 |
| 25 | Offensive | 10 |
| 28 | Defensive | 16 |
| 1 | SoS (Current) | 16 |
| 1 | SoS (Full Season) | 16 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Arizona 54%, Cincinnati 46% at Cincinnati.
Arizona's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Arizona's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Arizona's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 59% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Cincinnati | Neutral | At Arizona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 68% | 71% | 73% |
| Wk 4 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 5 | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Wk 6 | 45% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 7 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 8 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 9 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 10 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 11 | 55% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 12 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 13 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 14 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 15 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 16 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 17 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 18 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 19 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 20 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 21 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 22 | 55% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 23 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 24 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 25 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 26 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 27 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 28 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 29 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 30 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 31 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 32 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
Cincinnati
Arizona
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
75-87 (46.3%) |
Overall |
86-76 (53.1%) |
|
38-43 (46.9%) |
Home |
45-36 (55.6%) |
|
37-44 (45.7%) |
Away |
41-40 (50.6%) |
|
12-20 (37.5%) |
Versus Top 5 |
15-17 (46.9%) |
|
36-52 (40.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
33-39 (45.8%) |
|
39-35 (52.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
53-37 (58.9%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Cincinnati
Arizona
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 14 runs vs #18 Washington | Largest MOV | 10 runs vs #28 Athletics |
| 20 runs vs #1 Milwaukee | Largest MOD | 15 runs vs #4 Atlanta |
Cincinnati
Arizona
| 4.1 | Runs per Game | 4.6 |
| 5.1 | Runs Against | 4.5 |
| 4 | Home RPG | 4.6 |
| 4.7 | Home RA | 4.4 |
| 4.2 | Away RPG | 4.5 |
| 5.5 | Away RA | 4.6 |
| 13724-13017 | Opponent Record | 13325-13375 |
| 13.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.2 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Cincinnati
Arizona
| Sep 27 | at Toronto (79-83) | L1-5 | Sep 27 | at San Diego (94-74) | L4-9 |
| Sep 26 | at Toronto (79-83) | W5-1 | Sep 26 | at San Diego (94-74) | L7-10 |
| Sep 25 | at Toronto (79-83) | L5-6 | Sep 25 | at San Diego (94-74) | W11-4 |
| Sep 24 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W7-6 | Sep 24 | at Colorado (58-104) | W12-8 |
| Sep 23 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-3 | Sep 23 | at Colorado (58-104) | W5-3 |
| Sep 22 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W4-0 | Sep 22 | at Colorado (58-104) | W7-2 |
| Sep 20 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-9 | Sep 20 | vs #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | W8-4 |
| Sep 19 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L2-5 | Sep 19 | vs #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | W5-3 |
| Sep 18 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | W6-4 | Sep 18 | vs #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | L2-9 |
| Sep 17 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L2-8 | Sep 16 | vs Miami (80-82) | L3-4 |