Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
San Francisco
Chicago
|
64
D
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
68
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
San Francisco
6099
Chicago
6099
|
||
|
69
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
San Francisco
6099
Chicago
6099
|
||
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
88
B+
|
San Francisco
Chicago
| 27 | Overall | 6 |
| 24 | Power | 3 |
| 24 | Offensive | 1 |
| 23 | Defensive | 9 |
| 7 | SoS (Current) | 9 |
| 6 | SoS (Future) | 9 |
Wk 26 (Sep 15), 2026: Chi Cubs 63%, San Francisco 37% at Chi Cubs.
Chi Cubs' win probability against San Francisco has held at 58% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chi Cubs' win probability against San Francisco has held at 61% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chi Cubs' win probability against San Francisco has held at 63% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At San Francisco | Neutral | At Chi Cubs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 1 | 38% | 41% | 43% |
| Wk 2 | 63% | 65% | 68% |
| Wk 3 | 65% | 67% | 70% |
| Wk 4 | 71% | 73% | 75% |
| Wk 5 | 67% | 69% | 72% |
| Wk 6 | 65% | 67% | 69% |
| Wk 7 | 68% | 70% | 72% |
| Wk 8 | 65% | 68% | 70% |
| Wk 9 | 62% | 64% | 67% |
| Wk 10 | 58% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 11 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 12 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 13 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 14 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 15 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 16 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 17 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 18 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 19 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 20 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 21 | 60% | 63% | 65% |
| Wk 22 | 60% | 62% | 65% |
| Wk 23 | 60% | 62% | 65% |
| Wk 24 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 25 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 26 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
San Francisco
Chicago
|
3-3 (50%) |
Head to Head |
3-3 (50%) |
|
62-89 (41.1%) |
Overall |
84-67 (55.6%) |
|
36-39 (48%) |
Home |
44-32 (57.9%) |
|
26-50 (34.2%) |
Away |
40-35 (53.3%) |
|
13-13 (50%) |
Versus Top 5 |
13-16 (44.8%) |
|
32-50 (39%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
39-34 (53.4%) |
|
30-39 (43.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
45-33 (57.7%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
San Francisco
Chicago
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 15 runs vs #6 Chi Cubs | Largest MOV | 20 runs vs #9 San Diego |
| 14 runs vs #1 Milwaukee | Largest MOD | 16 runs vs #14 St. Louis |
San Francisco
Chicago
| 4.2 | Runs per Game | 5.3 |
| 4.7 | Runs Against | 4.4 |
| 4.2 | Home RPG | 5.4 |
| 4.5 | Home RA | 4.5 |
| 4.2 | Away RPG | 5.3 |
| 4.9 | Away RA | 4.3 |
| 11441-11259 | Opponent Record | 11434-11263 |
| 14.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.7 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | W 1 |
San Francisco
Chicago
| Sep 14 | at St. Louis (75-76) | L1-2 | Sep 14 | vs #4 Atlanta (88-63) | W7-3 |
| Sep 13 | vs San Diego (82-68) | L4-6 | Sep 13 | vs Pittsburgh (75-75) | L3-4 |
| Sep 12 | vs San Diego (82-68) | L6-7 | Sep 12 | vs Pittsburgh (75-75) | W4-3 |
| Sep 11 | vs San Diego (82-68) | L5-7 | Sep 11 | vs Pittsburgh (75-75) | W12-2 |
| Sep 9 | vs St. Louis (75-76) | W7-6 | Sep 9 | at #1 Milwaukee (93-57) | L6-8 |
| Sep 8 | vs St. Louis (75-76) | W2-1 | Sep 8 | at #1 Milwaukee (93-57) | L3-4 |
| Sep 7 | vs St. Louis (75-76) | W5-4 | Sep 7 | at #1 Milwaukee (93-57) | L3-4 |
| Sep 6 | at NY Mets (69-81) | L2-4 | Sep 6 | at Miami (74-77) | L3-10 |
| Sep 5 | at NY Mets (69-81) | W9-5 | Sep 5 | at Miami (74-77) | W6-5 |
| Sep 4 | at NY Mets (69-81) | L6-10 | Sep 4 | at Miami (74-77) | W6-1 |
vs
Major League Baseball