Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 32 (Oct 31), 2026: Chi Cubs 54%, Boston 46% at a neutral site.
Chi Cubs' win probability against Boston has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chi Cubs' win probability against Boston has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Chi Cubs' win probability against Boston has held at 56% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.