Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Arizona
Boston
|
87
B+
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
83
B-
|
Power |
88
B+
|
|
87
B+
6099
|
Offensive |
72
C-
6099
|
|
Arizona
6099
Boston
6099
|
||
|
79
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
Arizona
6099
Boston
6099
|
||
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
77
C+
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
77
C+
|
Arizona
Boston
| 10 | Overall | 9 |
| 13 | Power | 9 |
| 10 | Offensive | 21 |
| 16 | Defensive | 5 |
| 16 | SoS (Current) | 17 |
| 16 | SoS (Full Season) | 17 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Boston 55%, Arizona 45% at Boston.
Boston's win probability against Arizona has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Boston's win probability against Arizona has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Boston's win probability against Arizona has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Arizona | Neutral | At Boston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 29% | 31% | 33% |
| Wk 4 | 38% | 41% | 43% |
| Wk 5 | 41% | 44% | 46% |
| Wk 6 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 7 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 8 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 9 | 44% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 10 | 43% | 46% | 48% |
| Wk 11 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 12 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 13 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 14 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 15 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 16 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 17 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 18 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 19 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 20 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 21 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 22 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 23 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 24 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 25 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 26 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 27 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 28 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 29 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 30 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 31 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 32 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
Arizona
Boston
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
86-76 (53.1%) |
Overall |
87-77 (53%) |
|
45-36 (55.6%) |
Home |
41-40 (50.6%) |
|
41-40 (50.6%) |
Away |
46-37 (55.4%) |
|
15-17 (46.9%) |
Versus Top 5 |
19-21 (47.5%) |
|
33-39 (45.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
35-32 (52.2%) |
|
53-37 (58.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
52-45 (53.6%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
Arizona
Boston
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 10 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOV | 16 runs vs #15 Baltimore |
| 15 runs vs #4 Atlanta | Largest MOD | 15 runs vs #5 NY Yankees |
Arizona
Boston
| 4.6 | Runs per Game | 4.2 |
| 4.5 | Runs Against | 3.8 |
| 4.6 | Home RPG | 4.3 |
| 4.4 | Home RA | 3.9 |
| 4.5 | Away RPG | 4.1 |
| 4.6 | Away RA | 3.7 |
| 13325-13375 | Opponent Record | 13646-13409 |
| 15.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.2 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 15 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 3 |
Arizona
Boston
| Sep 27 | at San Diego (94-74) | L4-9 | Sep 30 | at #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | L2-9 |
| Sep 26 | at San Diego (94-74) | L7-10 | Sep 29 | at #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | L0-9 |
| Sep 25 | at San Diego (94-74) | W11-4 | Sep 27 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L2-6 |
| Sep 24 | at Colorado (58-104) | W12-8 | Sep 25 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | W2-0 |
| Sep 23 | at Colorado (58-104) | W5-3 | Sep 25 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | W4-3 |
| Sep 22 | at Colorado (58-104) | W7-2 | Sep 24 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | L0-1 |
| Sep 20 | vs #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | W8-4 | Sep 23 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W1-0 |
| Sep 19 | vs #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | W5-3 | Sep 22 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | L2-3 |
| Sep 18 | vs #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | L2-9 | Sep 20 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L1-5 |
| Sep 16 | vs Miami (80-82) | L3-4 | Sep 19 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L1-2 |