Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Baltimore
Tampa Bay
|
80
B-
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
75
C
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
82
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Baltimore
6099
Tampa Bay
6099
|
||
|
73
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
92
A-
6099
|
|
Baltimore
6099
Tampa Bay
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
76
C
|
Baltimore
Tampa Bay
| 15 | Overall | 3 |
| 19 | Power | 6 |
| 14 | Offensive | 9 |
| 20 | Defensive | 6 |
| 14 | SoS (Current) | 18 |
| 14 | SoS (Full Season) | 18 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Tampa Bay 52%, Baltimore 48% at Baltimore.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Baltimore has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Baltimore has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Baltimore has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Baltimore | Neutral | At Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 4 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 5 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 6 | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Wk 7 | 61% | 64% | 66% |
| Wk 8 | 61% | 63% | 66% |
| Wk 9 | 65% | 67% | 69% |
| Wk 10 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 11 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 12 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 13 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 14 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 15 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 16 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 17 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 18 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 19 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 20 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 21 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 22 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 23 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 24 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 25 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 26 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 27 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 28 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 29 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 30 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 31 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 32 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
Baltimore
Tampa Bay
|
8-5 (61.5%) |
Head to Head |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
78-82 (48.8%) |
Overall |
106-70 (60.2%) |
|
38-42 (47.5%) |
Home |
60-29 (67.4%) |
|
40-40 (50%) |
Away |
46-41 (52.9%) |
|
14-20 (41.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
14-16 (46.7%) |
|
29-46 (38.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
44-32 (57.9%) |
|
49-36 (57.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
62-38 (62%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Baltimore
Tampa Bay
| #2 LA Dodgers | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 12 runs vs #17 St. Louis | Largest MOV | 11 runs vs #8 Philadelphia |
| 16 runs vs #9 Boston | Largest MOD | 11 runs vs #29 LA Angels |
Baltimore
Tampa Bay
| 4.5 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 4.6 | Runs Against | 4 |
| 4.2 | Home RPG | 4.5 |
| 4.4 | Home RA | 4 |
| 4.7 | Away RPG | 4.4 |
| 4.9 | Away RA | 4 |
| 13352-13072 | Opponent Record | 14562-14395 |
| 15.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.2 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Baltimore
Tampa Bay
| Sep 25 | at #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | L3-6 | Oct 28 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-4 |
| Sep 25 | at #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | W10-2 | Oct 27 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W4-3 |
| Sep 23 | vs Toronto (79-83) | W4-2 | Oct 26 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-10 |
| Sep 21 | vs Toronto (79-83) | W4-3 | Oct 24 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L4-5 |
| Sep 20 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L0-3 | Oct 23 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L2-3 |
| Sep 19 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L0-1 | Oct 19 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W7-3 |
| Sep 18 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L5-6 | Oct 18 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W3-1 |
| Sep 16 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-1 | Oct 17 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W7-3 |
| Sep 15 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-5 | Oct 15 | at Cleveland (90-83) | L2-3 |
| Sep 14 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W2-1 | Oct 13 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W3-1 |