Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Pittsburgh
Arizona
|
86
B
|
Overall |
87
B+
|
|
86
B
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
92
A-
6099
|
Offensive |
87
B+
6099
|
|
Pittsburgh
6099
Arizona
6099
|
||
|
80
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
79
C+
6099
|
|
Pittsburgh
6099
Arizona
6099
|
||
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
88
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
79
C+
|
Pittsburgh
Arizona
| 11 | Overall | 10 |
| 11 | Power | 13 |
| 6 | Offensive | 10 |
| 15 | Defensive | 16 |
| 9 | SoS (Current) | 16 |
| 9 | SoS (Full Season) | 16 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Arizona 51%, Pittsburgh 49% at Arizona.
Arizona's win probability against Pittsburgh has held at 46% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Arizona's win probability against Pittsburgh has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Arizona's win probability against Pittsburgh has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Pittsburgh | Neutral | At Arizona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 4 | 42% | 44% | 47% |
| Wk 5 | 35% | 37% | 40% |
| Wk 6 | 36% | 39% | 41% |
| Wk 7 | 39% | 42% | 44% |
| Wk 8 | 41% | 44% | 46% |
| Wk 9 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 10 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 11 | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Wk 12 | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Wk 13 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 14 | 43% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 15 | 43% | 46% | 48% |
| Wk 16 | 43% | 46% | 48% |
| Wk 17 | 43% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 18 | 44% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 19 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 20 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 21 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 22 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 23 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 24 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 25 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 26 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 27 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 28 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 29 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 30 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 31 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 32 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
Pittsburgh
Arizona
|
3-3 (50%) |
Head to Head |
3-3 (50%) |
|
82-80 (50.6%) |
Overall |
86-76 (53.1%) |
|
44-37 (54.3%) |
Home |
45-36 (55.6%) |
|
38-43 (46.9%) |
Away |
41-40 (50.6%) |
|
12-19 (38.7%) |
Versus Top 5 |
15-17 (46.9%) |
|
33-39 (45.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
33-39 (45.8%) |
|
49-41 (54.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
53-37 (58.9%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Pittsburgh
Arizona
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 12 runs vs #14 Miami | Largest MOV | 10 runs vs #28 Athletics |
| 11 runs vs #7 Chi Cubs | Largest MOD | 15 runs vs #4 Atlanta |
Pittsburgh
Arizona
| 4.7 | Runs per Game | 4.6 |
| 4.6 | Runs Against | 4.5 |
| 5.1 | Home RPG | 4.6 |
| 4.8 | Home RA | 4.4 |
| 4.4 | Away RPG | 4.5 |
| 4.3 | Away RA | 4.6 |
| 13574-13129 | Opponent Record | 13325-13375 |
| 14.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.2 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Pittsburgh
Arizona
| Sep 27 | at Detroit (76-86) | W4-2 | Sep 27 | at San Diego (94-74) | L4-9 |
| Sep 26 | at Detroit (76-86) | L3-4 | Sep 26 | at San Diego (94-74) | L7-10 |
| Sep 25 | at Detroit (76-86) | L7-8 | Sep 25 | at San Diego (94-74) | W11-4 |
| Sep 24 | vs St. Louis (77-85) | W2-1 | Sep 24 | at Colorado (58-104) | W12-8 |
| Sep 23 | vs St. Louis (77-85) | L1-5 | Sep 23 | at Colorado (58-104) | W5-3 |
| Sep 22 | vs St. Louis (77-85) | W2-0 | Sep 22 | at Colorado (58-104) | W7-2 |
| Sep 20 | vs Kansas City (69-93) | W4-3 | Sep 20 | vs #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | W8-4 |
| Sep 19 | vs Kansas City (69-93) | W6-5 | Sep 19 | vs #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | W5-3 |
| Sep 18 | vs Kansas City (69-93) | W8-5 | Sep 18 | vs #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | L2-9 |
| Sep 17 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W7-4 | Sep 16 | vs Miami (80-82) | L3-4 |