Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Baltimore
Atlanta
|
80
B-
|
Overall |
95
A
|
|
76
C
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
83
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
90
A-
6099
|
|
Baltimore
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
75
C
6099
|
Defensive |
95
A
6099
|
|
Baltimore
6099
Atlanta
6099
|
||
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
84
B
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
84
B
|
Baltimore
Atlanta
| 15 | Overall | 4 |
| 18 | Power | 5 |
| 13 | Offensive | 8 |
| 19 | Defensive | 4 |
| 13 | SoS (Current) | 12 |
| 13 | SoS (Future) | 12 |
Wk 28 (Sep 30), 2026: Atlanta 59%, Baltimore 41% at Atlanta.
Atlanta's win probability against Baltimore is trending down — from 57% to 53% over the last 6 weeks.
Atlanta's win probability against Baltimore is trending down — from 59% to 56% over the last 6 weeks.
Atlanta's win probability against Baltimore is trending down — from 62% to 59% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Baltimore | Neutral | At Atlanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 1 | 66% | 68% | 71% |
| Wk 2 | 80% | 82% | 84% |
| Wk 3 | 84% | 85% | 87% |
| Wk 4 | 71% | 73% | 75% |
| Wk 5 | 66% | 68% | 71% |
| Wk 6 | 69% | 71% | 73% |
| Wk 7 | 71% | 73% | 75% |
| Wk 8 | 71% | 73% | 75% |
| Wk 9 | 72% | 74% | 76% |
| Wk 10 | 68% | 71% | 73% |
| Wk 11 | 64% | 66% | 69% |
| Wk 12 | 62% | 65% | 67% |
| Wk 13 | 62% | 64% | 66% |
| Wk 14 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 15 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 16 | 57% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 17 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 18 | 56% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 19 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 20 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 21 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 22 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 23 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 24 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 25 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 26 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 27 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 28 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
Baltimore
Atlanta
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
78-82 (48.8%) |
Overall |
95-68 (58.3%) |
|
38-42 (47.5%) |
Home |
53-29 (64.6%) |
|
40-40 (50%) |
Away |
42-39 (51.9%) |
|
14-20 (41.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
10-8 (55.6%) |
|
29-46 (38.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
41-29 (58.6%) |
|
49-36 (57.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
54-39 (58.1%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Baltimore
Atlanta
| #2 LA Dodgers | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 12 runs vs #18 St. Louis | Largest MOV | 15 runs vs #10 Arizona |
| 16 runs vs #9 Boston | Largest MOD | 12 runs vs #14 Miami |
Baltimore
Atlanta
| 4.5 | Runs per Game | 4.6 |
| 4.6 | Runs Against | 3.9 |
| 4.2 | Home RPG | 4.8 |
| 4.4 | Home RA | 3.9 |
| 4.7 | Away RPG | 4.4 |
| 4.9 | Away RA | 3.8 |
| 13126-12831 | Opponent Record | 13212-13230 |
| 15 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
Baltimore
Atlanta
| Sep 25 | at #5 NY Yankees (94-68) | L3-6 | Sep 29 | vs Philadelphia (88-75) | W5-3 |
| Sep 25 | at #5 NY Yankees (94-68) | W10-2 | Sep 27 | at Miami (80-82) | L3-5 |
| Sep 23 | vs Toronto (79-83) | W4-2 | Sep 26 | at Miami (80-82) | W8-3 |
| Sep 21 | vs Toronto (79-83) | W4-3 | Sep 25 | at Miami (80-82) | L0-3 |
| Sep 20 | vs #1 Milwaukee (103-59) | L0-3 | Sep 24 | vs Cincinnati (75-87) | L6-7 |
| Sep 19 | vs #1 Milwaukee (103-59) | L0-1 | Sep 23 | vs Cincinnati (75-87) | W3-2 |
| Sep 18 | vs #1 Milwaukee (103-59) | L5-6 | Sep 22 | vs Cincinnati (75-87) | L0-4 |
| Sep 16 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-1 | Sep 20 | at Houston (81-82) | W4-2 |
| Sep 15 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-5 | Sep 19 | at Houston (81-82) | W6-3 |
| Sep 14 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W2-1 | Sep 18 | at Houston (81-82) | W6-2 |
vs
Major League Baseball