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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Indianapolis 89%, William Jewell 11% at William Jewell.
Indianapolis' win probability against William Jewell has swung between 66% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 89% now.
Indianapolis' win probability against William Jewell has swung between 71% and 93% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 92% now.
Indianapolis' win probability against William Jewell has swung between 76% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 94% now.