Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Toledo 86%, Massachusetts 14% at Toledo.
Toledo's win probability against Massachusetts has swung between 70% and 83% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 78% now.
Toledo's win probability against Massachusetts has swung between 75% and 87% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 83% now.
Toledo's win probability against Massachusetts has swung between 80% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 86% now.