Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Lock Haven 56%, Shippensburg 44% at Shippensburg.
Lock Haven's win probability against Shippensburg has swung between 53% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.
Lock Haven's win probability against Shippensburg has swung between 59% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
Lock Haven's win probability against Shippensburg has swung between 65% and 84% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.