Penn State at Northwestern Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Northwestern by 10.39
TOTAL POINTS
51
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Penn State
Northwestern 
|
78
C+
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
89
B+
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
86
B
|
Offensive |
93
A-
|
|
90
A-
|
Defensive |
94
A
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
87
B+
|
|
86
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
93
A-
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Current) |
94
A
|
|
84
B
|
SoR (Full Season) |
95
A
|
RANKINGS
Penn State
Northwestern
| 75 #89 overall |
Overall | 22 #22 overall |
| 37 #37 overall |
Power | 19 #19 overall |
| 46 #46 overall |
Offensive | 23 #23 overall |
| 34 #34 overall |
Defensive | 18 #18 overall |
| 26 #26 overall |
SoS (Current) | 44 #44 overall |
| 46 #46 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 22 #22 overall |
Northwestern#2273%
Penn State#7527%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Northwestern 73%, Penn State 27% at Northwestern.
Northwestern's win probability against Penn State is trending up — from 14% to 62% over the last 6 weeks.
Northwestern's win probability against Penn State is trending up — from 18% to 67% over the last 6 weeks.
Northwestern's win probability against Penn State is trending up — from 22% to 73% over the last 6 weeks.
Northwestern favored
Penn State favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Penn State | Neutral | At Northwestern |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 12% | 15% | 19% |
| Wk 1 | 17% | 21% | 26% |
| Wk 2 | 11% | 14% | 18% |
| Wk 3 | 14% | 18% | 22% |
| Wk 4 | 31% | 36% | 43% |
| Wk 5 | 47% | 53% | 60% |
| Wk 6 | 66% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 7 | 66% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 8 | 64% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 9 | 62% | 67% | 73% |
RECORDS
Penn State
Northwestern
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Home |
5-0 (100%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Penn State
Northwestern
| #114 Buffalo | Best Win | #89 Penn State |
| #37 Michigan | Worst Loss | #7 Indiana |
| 45 pts vs #134 Marshall | Largest MOV | 34 pts vs #113 Colorado |
| 21 pts vs #22 Northwestern | Largest MOD | 6 pts vs #7 Indiana |
OTHER STATISTICS
Penn State
Northwestern
| 28.7 | Points per Game | 34.7 |
| 18.9 | Points Against | 16.6 |
| 35.8 | Home PPG | 39.2 |
| 17 | Home PA | 13.2 |
| 19.3 | Away PPG | 23.5 |
| 21.3 | Away PA | 25 |
| 32-19 | Opponent Record | 25-28 |
| 84.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 103.6 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | W 4 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Penn State
Northwestern
| Oct 17 | at Michigan (4-3) | L18-21 | Oct 24 | vs Rutgers (2-5) | W42-14 |
| Oct 10 | vs Southern Cal (6-2) | L23-31 | Oct 17 | at Michigan St (2-6) | W24-21 |
| Oct 2 | at #22 Northwestern (6-1) | L13-34 | Oct 10 | vs Ball St (3-5) | W45-14 |
| Sep 26 | vs #25 Wisconsin (5-2) | L20-24 | Oct 2 | vs Penn State (3-4) | W34-13 |
| Sep 19 | vs Buffalo (5-3) | W55-13 | Sep 25 | at #7 Indiana (7-1) | L23-29 |
| Sep 12 | at Temple (2-5) | W27-9 | Sep 19 | vs Colorado (2-5) | W41-7 |
| Sep 5 | vs Marshall (4-3) | W45-0 | Sep 5 | vs South Dakota St (6-2) | W34-18 |