Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Wingate 53%, Mars Hill 47% at Mars Hill.
Wingate's win probability against Mars Hill has swung between 36% and 62% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 53% now.
Wingate's win probability against Mars Hill has swung between 42% and 67% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 59% now.
Wingate's win probability against Mars Hill has swung between 48% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.