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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Indianapolis 97%, Lincoln MO 3% at Lincoln MO.
Indianapolis' win probability against Lincoln MO has swung between 89% and 98% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 97% now.
Indianapolis' win probability against Lincoln MO has swung between 92% and 98% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 98% now.
Indianapolis' win probability against Lincoln MO has swung between 94% and 99% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 98% now.