Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 3 (Sep 13), 2026-27: Hillsdale 81%, Lake Erie 19% at Lake Erie.
Hillsdale's win probability against Lake Erie has swung between 79% and 86% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 81% now.
Hillsdale's win probability against Lake Erie has swung between 83% and 89% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 85% now.
Hillsdale's win probability against Lake Erie has held at 88% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.