Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Clarion 97%, Lackawanna 3% at Lackawanna.
Clarion's win probability against Lackawanna has held at 97% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Clarion's win probability against Lackawanna has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.