Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Gustavus Adolphus 72%, Central IA 28% at Gustavus Adolphus.
Gustavus Adolphus' win probability against Central IA has swung between 56% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 61% now.
Gustavus Adolphus' win probability against Central IA has swung between 62% and 84% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 67% now.
Gustavus Adolphus' win probability against Central IA has swung between 68% and 87% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 72% now.