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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Massachusetts 52%, Bowling Green 48% at Bowling Green.
Massachusetts' win probability against Bowling Green has swung between 49% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.
Massachusetts' win probability against Bowling Green has swung between 55% and 83% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 58% now.
Massachusetts' win probability against Bowling Green has swung between 61% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.