Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Illinois St
Wake Forest
|
89
B+
|
Overall |
91
A-
|
|
89
B+
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
81
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
93
A-
6099
|
|
Illinois St
6099
Wake Forest
6099
|
||
|
94
A
6099
|
Defensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Illinois St
6099
Wake Forest
6099
|
||
|
86
B
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
86
B
|
SoS (Future) |
93
A-
|
Illinois St
Wake Forest
| 94 | Overall | 72 |
| 97 | Power | 63 |
| 169 | Offensive | 55 |
| 52 | Defensive | 106 |
| 123 | SoS (Current) | 53 |
| 123 | SoS (Future) | 53 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Wake Forest 75%, Illinois St 25% at Wake Forest.
Wake Forest's win probability against Illinois St has swung between 55% and 61% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 57% now.
Wake Forest's win probability against Illinois St has swung between 65% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 67% now.
Wake Forest's win probability against Illinois St has held at 75% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Illinois St | Neutral | At Wake Forest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 1 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 2 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 3 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 4 | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 5 | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 6 | 62% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 7 | 62% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 8 | 57% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 9 | 50% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 10 | 46% | 56% | 66% |
| Wk 11 | 57% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 12 | 54% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 13 | 53% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 14 | 49% | 59% | 69% |
| Wk 15 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 16 | 55% | 65% | 74% |
| Wk 17 | 59% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 18 | 58% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 19 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 20 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 21 | 59% | 68% | 77% |
| Wk 22 | 55% | 65% | 74% |
| Wk 23 | 57% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 24 | 57% | 67% | 75% |
Illinois St
Wake Forest
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
22-13 (62.9%) |
Overall |
18-17 (51.4%) |
|
13-2 (86.7%) |
Home |
13-7 (65%) |
|
7-7 (50%) |
Away |
2-7 (22.2%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-6 (0%) |
|
13-9 (59.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-15 (40%) |
|
9-4 (69.2%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-2 (80%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Illinois St
Wake Forest
| #57 Dayton | Best Win | #37 Clemson |
| #296 Evansville | Worst Loss | #172 Boston College |
| 52 pts vs #171 Coastal Car | Largest MOV | 48 pts vs #189 Campbell |
| 27 pts vs #141 IL Chicago | Largest MOD | 31 pts vs #18 Vanderbilt |
Illinois St
Wake Forest
| 74.1 | Points per Game | 78.8 |
| 69.1 | Points Against | 76.9 |
| 78.5 | Home PPG | 82.7 |
| 61.1 | Home PA | 77.2 |
| 71.6 | Away PPG | 70.9 |
| 74 | Away PA | 76.3 |
| 581-546 | Opponent Record | 698-470 |
| 159.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 101.7 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Illinois St
Wake Forest
| Apr 2 | Auburn (22-16) | L66-88 | Mar 22 | vs Illinois St (22-13) | L75-78 |
| Mar 25 | at Dayton (25-12) | W61-55 | Mar 18 | vs Navy (24-8) | W82-72 |
| Mar 22 | at Wake Forest (18-17) | W78-75 | Mar 11 | Clemson (24-11) | L62-71 |
| Mar 18 | vs Kent (22-10) | W79-58 | Mar 10 | Virginia Tech (19-13) | W95-89 |
| Mar 6 | Northern Iowa (22-13) | L52-74 | Mar 7 | vs California (21-12) | W80-73 |
| Mar 1 | vs Belmont (25-6) | W81-74 | Mar 3 | at #13 Virginia (30-6) | L70-75 |
| Feb 25 | at Northern Iowa (22-13) | W71-69 | Feb 28 | vs Syracuse (15-17) | W88-83 |
| Feb 21 | at Bradley (20-13) | L60-74 | Feb 25 | at Boston College (11-20) | L67-68 |
| Feb 18 | vs Murray St (20-13) | W78-61 | Feb 21 | at Virginia Tech (19-13) | L63-82 |
| Feb 15 | at IL Chicago (17-16) | L56-83 | Feb 18 | vs Clemson (24-11) | W85-77 |
vs
College Basketball