Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Virginia 72%, Virginia Tech 28% at Virginia.
Virginia's win probability against Virginia Tech has swung between 60% and 65% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 60% now.
Virginia's win probability against Virginia Tech has swung between 66% and 71% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 66% now.
Virginia's win probability against Virginia Tech has swung between 72% and 77% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 72% now.