Notre Dame at Virginia Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Virginia by 11.7
TOTAL POINTS
149
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Notre Dame
Virginia 
|
87
B+
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
90
A-
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
90
A-
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
90
A-
|
Defensive |
97
A+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
92
A-
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
92
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Notre Dame
Virginia
| 110 | Overall | 12 |
| 81 | Power | 18 |
| 89 | Offensive | 39 |
| 84 | Defensive | 22 |
| 72 | SoS (Current) | 66 |
| 72 | SoS (Full Season) | 66 |
Virginia#1281%
Notre Dame#11019%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Virginia 81%, Notre Dame 19% at Virginia.
Virginia's win probability against Notre Dame is trending down — from 74% to 69% over the last 6 updates.
Virginia's win probability against Notre Dame is trending down — from 80% to 76% over the last 6 updates.
Virginia's win probability against Notre Dame is trending down — from 84% to 81% over the last 6 updates.
Virginia favored
Notre Dame favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Notre Dame | Neutral | At Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 74% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 73% | 79% | 84% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 74% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 76% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 75% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 75% | 80% | 85% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 75% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 75% | 81% | 85% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 69% | 76% | 81% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Notre Dame
Virginia
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
13-18 (41.9%) |
Overall |
30-6 (83.3%) |
|
10-7 (58.8%) |
Home |
16-1 (94.1%) |
|
2-9 (18.2%) |
Away |
8-2 (80%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-4 (0%) |
|
7-14 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
18-6 (75%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Notre Dame
Virginia
| #28 TCU | Best Win | #27 Louisville |
| #231 PFW | Worst Loss | #85 Butler |
| 32 pts vs #202 Detroit | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #274 American Univ |
| 44 pts vs #3 Duke | Largest MOD | 26 pts vs #3 Duke |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Notre Dame
Virginia
| 74.5 | Points per Game | 80.4 |
| 75.3 | Points Against | 68.8 |
| 79.7 | Home PPG | 83.3 |
| 76.1 | Home PA | 64.1 |
| 69.8 | Away PPG | 77.9 |
| 76.5 | Away PA | 72.9 |
| 591-437 | Opponent Record | 667-527 |
| 103.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 106.5 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Notre Dame
Virginia
| Mar 7 | at Boston College (11-20) | L69-77 | Mar 22 | #19 Tennessee (25-12) | L72-79 |
| Mar 4 | vs Stanford (20-13) | L78-86 | Mar 20 | Wright St (21-12) | W82-73 |
| Feb 28 | vs NC State (20-14) | W96-90 | Mar 14 | #3 Duke (35-3) | L70-74 |
| Feb 24 | vs #3 Duke (35-3) | L56-100 | Mar 13 | Miami FL (26-9) | W84-62 |
| Feb 21 | at Pittsburgh (13-20) | L68-73 | Mar 12 | NC State (20-14) | W81-74 |
| Feb 14 | vs Georgia Tech (11-20) | W89-74 | Mar 7 | vs Virginia Tech (19-13) | W76-72 |
| Feb 10 | at SMU (20-14) | L81-89 | Mar 3 | vs Wake Forest (18-17) | W75-70 |
| Feb 7 | vs Florida St (18-15) | L79-82 | Feb 28 | at #3 Duke (35-3) | L51-77 |
| Feb 4 | at Louisville (24-11) | L65-76 | Feb 24 | vs NC State (20-14) | W90-61 |
| Jan 31 | at Syracuse (15-17) | L72-86 | Feb 21 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | W86-83 |