Kentucky at Virginia Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Virginia by 3.79
TOTAL POINTS
150
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Kentucky
Virginia 
|
96
A
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
96
A
|
Defensive |
97
A+
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Current) |
92
A-
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
92
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Kentucky
Virginia
| 30 | Overall | 12 |
| 22 | Power | 18 |
| 32 | Offensive | 39 |
| 29 | Defensive | 22 |
| 31 | SoS (Current) | 66 |
| 31 | SoS (Full Season) | 66 |
Virginia#1261%
Kentucky#3039%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Virginia 61%, Kentucky 39% at Virginia.
Virginia's win probability against Kentucky has held at 46% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Virginia's win probability against Kentucky has held at 54% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Virginia's win probability against Kentucky has held at 61% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Virginia favored
Kentucky favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Kentucky | Neutral | At Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 44% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 44% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 45% | 52% | 60% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 48% | 56% | 63% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 47% | 54% | 62% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 47% | 55% | 62% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 48% | 55% | 62% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 48% | 55% | 62% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 46% | 54% | 61% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Kentucky
Virginia
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
22-14 (61.1%) |
Overall |
30-6 (83.3%) |
|
14-4 (77.8%) |
Home |
16-1 (94.1%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Away |
8-2 (80%) |
|
5-9 (35.7%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-4 (0%) |
|
11-14 (44%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
18-6 (75%) |
|
11-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Kentucky
Virginia
| #7 St John's | Best Win | #27 Louisville |
| #51 Missouri | Worst Loss | #85 Butler |
| 50 pts vs #315 Tennessee Tech | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #274 American Univ |
| 35 pts vs #16 Gonzaga | Largest MOD | 26 pts vs #3 Duke |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Kentucky
Virginia
| 80.5 | Points per Game | 80.4 |
| 74.3 | Points Against | 68.8 |
| 85.8 | Home PPG | 83.3 |
| 67.9 | Home PA | 64.1 |
| 77.1 | Away PPG | 77.9 |
| 82 | Away PA | 72.9 |
| 745-472 | Opponent Record | 667-527 |
| 86.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 106.5 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Kentucky
Virginia
| Mar 22 | #12 Iowa St (29-8) | L63-82 | Mar 22 | #19 Tennessee (25-12) | L72-79 |
| Mar 20 | Santa Clara (25-9) | W89-84 | Mar 20 | Wright St (21-12) | W82-73 |
| Mar 13 | #8 Florida (27-8) | L63-71 | Mar 14 | #3 Duke (35-3) | L70-74 |
| Mar 12 | Missouri (20-13) | W78-72 | Mar 13 | Miami FL (26-9) | W84-62 |
| Mar 11 | LSU (15-17) | W87-82 | Mar 12 | NC State (20-14) | W81-74 |
| Mar 7 | vs #8 Florida (27-8) | L77-84 | Mar 7 | vs Virginia Tech (19-13) | W76-72 |
| Mar 3 | at Texas A&M (22-12) | L85-96 | Mar 3 | vs Wake Forest (18-17) | W75-70 |
| Feb 28 | vs #18 Vanderbilt (27-9) | W91-77 | Feb 28 | at #3 Duke (35-3) | L51-77 |
| Feb 24 | at South Carolina (13-19) | W72-63 | Feb 24 | vs NC State (20-14) | W90-61 |
| Feb 21 | at Auburn (22-16) | L74-75 | Feb 21 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | W86-83 |