Connecticut vs Virginia Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Connecticut by 2.4
TOTAL POINTS
142
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Virginia
Connecticut 
|
98
A+
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Offensive |
93
A-
|
|
97
A+
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
95
A
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
96
A
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Virginia
Connecticut
| 12 | Overall | 3 |
| 18 | Power | 8 |
| 39 | Offensive | 61 |
| 22 | Defensive | 3 |
| 66 | SoS (Current) | 34 |
| 61 | SoS (Full Season) | 32 |
Connecticut#356%
Virginia#1244%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Connecticut 56%, Virginia 44% at a neutral site.
Connecticut's win probability against Virginia has held at 50% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Connecticut's win probability against Virginia has swung between 53% and 58% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.
Connecticut's win probability against Virginia has held at 63% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Connecticut favored
Virginia favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Virginia | Neutral | At Connecticut |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 50% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 50% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 47% | 54% | 61% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 47% | 53% | 60% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 49% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 64% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 50% | 56% | 63% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Virginia
Connecticut
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
30-6 (83.3%) |
Overall |
34-6 (85%) |
|
16-1 (94.1%) |
Home |
15-2 (88.2%) |
|
8-2 (80%) |
Away |
9-2 (81.8%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
10-4 (71.4%) |
|
18-6 (75%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
20-4 (83.3%) |
|
12-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
14-2 (87.5%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Virginia
Connecticut
| #27 Louisville | Best Win | #3 Duke |
| #85 Butler | Worst Loss | #105 Marquette |
| 44 pts vs #274 American Univ | Largest MOV | 63 pts vs #319 MA Lowell |
| 26 pts vs #3 Duke | Largest MOD | 20 pts vs #7 St John's |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Virginia
Connecticut
| 80.4 | Points per Game | 76.6 |
| 68.8 | Points Against | 65.2 |
| 83.3 | Home PPG | 79.7 |
| 64.1 | Home PA | 62.6 |
| 77.9 | Away PPG | 75.5 |
| 72.9 | Away PA | 67.4 |
| 667-527 | Opponent Record | 804-543 |
| 106.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 85.7 |
| W 9 | Longest Streak | W 18 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Virginia
Connecticut
| Mar 22 | #19 Tennessee (25-12) | L72-79 | Apr 6 | #1 Michigan (37-3) | L63-69 |
| Mar 20 | Wright St (21-12) | W82-73 | Apr 4 | #10 Illinois (28-9) | W71-62 |
| Mar 14 | #3 Duke (35-3) | L70-74 | Mar 29 | #3 Duke (35-3) | W73-72 |
| Mar 13 | Miami FL (26-9) | W84-62 | Mar 27 | #9 Michigan St (27-8) | W67-63 |
| Mar 12 | NC State (20-14) | W81-74 | Mar 22 | #24 UCLA (24-12) | W73-57 |
| Mar 7 | vs Virginia Tech (19-13) | W76-72 | Mar 20 | Furman (19-13) | W82-71 |
| Mar 3 | vs Wake Forest (18-17) | W75-70 | Mar 14 | #7 St John's (30-7) | L52-72 |
| Feb 28 | at #3 Duke (35-3) | L51-77 | Mar 13 | Georgetown (16-18) | W67-51 |
| Feb 24 | vs NC State (20-14) | W90-61 | Mar 12 | Xavier (15-18) | W93-68 |
| Feb 21 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | W86-83 | Mar 7 | at Marquette (12-20) | L62-68 |