Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: St John's 59%, Villanova 41% at Villanova.
St John's' win probability against Villanova is trending up — from 56% to 59% over the last 6 updates.
St John's' win probability against Villanova has swung between 63% and 68% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 65% now.
St John's' win probability against Villanova has swung between 69% and 74% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 71% now.