Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: UMBC 51%, Vermont 49% at Vermont.
UMBC's win probability against Vermont is trending up — from 47% to 51% over the last 6 updates.
UMBC's win probability against Vermont is trending up — from 54% to 58% over the last 6 updates.
UMBC's win probability against Vermont is trending up — from 61% to 64% over the last 6 updates.