Valparaiso at UNC Wilmington Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
UNC Wilmington by 4.17
TOTAL POINTS
140
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Valparaiso
UNC Wilmington 
|
83
B-
|
Overall |
90
A-
|
|
83
B-
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
74
C
|
Offensive |
76
C
|
|
87
B+
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Current) |
75
C
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
75
C
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Valparaiso
UNC Wilmington
| 154 | Overall | 88 |
| 155 | Power | 137 |
| 231 | Offensive | 216 |
| 113 | Defensive | 92 |
| 140 | SoS (Current) | 221 |
| 140 | SoS (Full Season) | 221 |
UNC Wilmington#8862%
Valparaiso#15438%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: UNC Wilmington 62%, Valparaiso 38% at UNC Wilmington.
UNC Wilmington's win probability against Valparaiso is trending down — from 53% to 47% over the last 6 updates.
UNC Wilmington's win probability against Valparaiso is trending down — from 60% to 55% over the last 6 updates.
UNC Wilmington's win probability against Valparaiso is trending down — from 67% to 62% over the last 6 updates.
UNC Wilmington favored
Valparaiso favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Valparaiso | Neutral | At UNC Wilmington |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 50% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 66% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 53% | 60% | 67% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 50% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 50% | 57% | 65% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 50% | 57% | 64% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 50% | 57% | 64% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 50% | 57% | 64% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 47% | 55% | 62% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Valparaiso
UNC Wilmington
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
17-15 (53.1%) |
Overall |
25-7 (78.1%) |
|
12-4 (75%) |
Home |
13-4 (76.5%) |
|
4-10 (28.6%) |
Away |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
5-10 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-6 (62.5%) |
|
12-5 (70.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
15-1 (93.8%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Valparaiso
UNC Wilmington
| #94 Illinois St | Best Win | #88 Yale |
| #357 Southern Indiana | Worst Loss | #200 Howard |
| 29 pts vs #281 W Michigan | Largest MOV | 30 pts vs #156 Navy |
| 48 pts vs #33 Kentucky | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #57 Dayton |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Valparaiso
UNC Wilmington
| 71.2 | Points per Game | 74.6 |
| 71.9 | Points Against | 68.1 |
| 70.8 | Home PPG | 73.4 |
| 65.6 | Home PA | 64.9 |
| 71.3 | Away PPG | 76.4 |
| 78.5 | Away PA | 70.9 |
| 489-533 | Opponent Record | 479-511 |
| 180 | Avg Opponent Rank | 206.9 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Valparaiso
UNC Wilmington
| Mar 6 | Bradley (20-13) | L84-90 | Mar 21 | vs Dayton (25-12) | L61-80 |
| Mar 5 | Indiana St (9-21) | W63-62 | Mar 17 | at Yale (22-7) | W68-67 |
| Feb 28 | at Evansville (5-25) | L79-80 | Mar 8 | Campbell (14-18) | L70-85 |
| Feb 25 | vs Drake (12-20) | W74-71 | Mar 3 | at Elon (12-18) | W76-57 |
| Feb 21 | at IL Chicago (17-16) | W71-67 | Mar 1 | vs Col Charleston (20-11) | L76-79 |
| Feb 18 | vs Bradley (20-13) | W79-72 | Feb 26 | vs NC A&T (9-19) | W88-65 |
| Feb 15 | vs Indiana St (9-21) | W76-75 | Feb 21 | at Campbell (14-18) | W73-68 |
| Feb 12 | at Illinois St (22-13) | L64-86 | Feb 19 | vs Monmouth NJ (18-15) | W79-69 |
| Feb 9 | at Drake (12-20) | W81-76 | Feb 14 | vs Hofstra (22-11) | W70-66 |
| Feb 6 | vs Evansville (5-25) | W70-63 | Feb 12 | vs Elon (12-18) | W65-54 |