Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: UMBC 81%, Maine 19% at UMBC.
UMBC's win probability against Maine is trending down — from 74% to 71% over the last 6 updates.
UMBC's win probability against Maine is trending down — from 79% to 76% over the last 6 updates.
UMBC's win probability against Maine has held at 81% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.