Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: UC Davis 66%, UTEP 34% at UC Davis.
UC Davis' win probability against UTEP is trending down — from 59% to 51% over the last 6 updates.
UC Davis' win probability against UTEP is trending down — from 66% to 59% over the last 6 updates.
UC Davis' win probability against UTEP is trending down — from 73% to 66% over the last 6 updates.