Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Tennessee 66%, Georgia 34% at Tennessee.
Tennessee's win probability against Georgia has swung between 49% and 56% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 52% now.
Tennessee's win probability against Georgia has swung between 56% and 63% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 59% now.
Tennessee's win probability against Georgia has swung between 64% and 70% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 66% now.