MTSU at Sam Houston St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Sam Houston St by 5.93
TOTAL POINTS
156
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
MTSU
Sam Houston St 
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
87
B+
|
|
83
B-
|
Power |
86
B
|
|
81
B-
|
Offensive |
90
A-
|
|
82
B-
|
Defensive |
75
C
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Current) |
84
B
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Future) |
84
B
|
RANKINGS
MTSU
Sam Houston St
| 157 | Overall | 116 |
| 151 | Power | 125 |
| 170 | Offensive | 83 |
| 158 | Defensive | 224 |
| 128 | SoS (Current) | 144 |
| 128 | SoS (Future) | 144 |
Sam Houston St#11669%
MTSU#15731%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Sam Houston St 69%, MTSU 31% at Sam Houston St.
Sam Houston St's win probability against MTSU is trending down — from 55% to 50% over the last 6 weeks.
Sam Houston St's win probability against MTSU is trending down — from 64% to 60% over the last 6 weeks.
Sam Houston St's win probability against MTSU is trending down — from 73% to 69% over the last 6 weeks.
Sam Houston St favored
MTSU favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At MTSU | Neutral | At Sam Houston St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 38% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 1 | 42% | 52% | 62% |
| Wk 2 | 45% | 55% | 64% |
| Wk 3 | 48% | 58% | 68% |
| Wk 4 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 5 | 46% | 56% | 66% |
| Wk 6 | 37% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 7 | 50% | 60% | 70% |
| Wk 8 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 9 | 44% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 10 | 26% | 35% | 44% |
| Wk 11 | 31% | 40% | 50% |
| Wk 12 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 13 | 46% | 56% | 66% |
| Wk 14 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 15 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 16 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 17 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 18 | 55% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 19 | 50% | 60% | 70% |
| Wk 20 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 21 | 50% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 22 | 50% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 23 | 50% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 24 | 50% | 60% | 69% |
RECORDS
MTSU
Sam Houston St
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
14-15 (48.3%) |
Overall |
19-12 (61.3%) |
|
8-4 (66.7%) |
Home |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Away |
6-10 (37.5%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
6-11 (35.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-8 (46.7%) |
|
8-4 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-4 (75%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
MTSU
Sam Houston St
| #110 UAB | Best Win | #103 Wyoming |
| #268 Delaware | Worst Loss | #268 Delaware |
| 37 pts vs #164 Louisiana Tech | Largest MOV | 33 pts vs #217 Florida Intl |
| 25 pts vs #1 Michigan | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #52 New Mexico |
OTHER STATISTICS
MTSU
Sam Houston St
| 73.5 | Points per Game | 80 |
| 74.6 | Points Against | 76.9 |
| 75.2 | Home PPG | 80.8 |
| 72.3 | Home PA | 71.5 |
| 71.5 | Away PPG | 79.4 |
| 74.2 | Away PA | 81.8 |
| 484-417 | Opponent Record | 472-484 |
| 163.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 171.3 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
MTSU
Sam Houston St
| Mar 12 | Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L69-80 | Mar 18 | at New Mexico (25-12) | L83-107 |
| Mar 7 | at Missouri St (13-18) | W75-63 | Mar 13 | Kennesaw (18-14) | L73-79 |
| Mar 5 | at Florida Intl (12-17) | W73-67 | Mar 11 | New Mexico St (13-16) | W69-61 |
| Feb 28 | vs New Mexico St (13-16) | W86-85 | Mar 7 | at Liberty (23-8) | L72-79 |
| Feb 26 | vs UTEP (8-20) | W77-67 | Mar 5 | at Delaware (10-20) | L80-83 |
| Feb 21 | vs Delaware (10-20) | W78-66 | Feb 28 | vs Missouri St (13-18) | W86-81 |
| Feb 18 | at Sam Houston St (19-12) | L70-78 | Feb 26 | vs Florida Intl (12-17) | W100-67 |
| Feb 14 | at WKU (16-14) | L80-82 | Feb 21 | vs Jacksonville St (12-17) | W82-78 |
| Feb 12 | at Kennesaw (18-14) | W90-87 | Feb 18 | vs MTSU (14-15) | W78-70 |
| Feb 7 | at Delaware (10-20) | L88-89 | Feb 14 | at Kennesaw (18-14) | W83-79 |
