Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: S Illinois 51%, Illinois St 49% at S Illinois.
S Illinois' win probability against Illinois St has swung between 33% and 38% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 38% now.
S Illinois' win probability against Illinois St has swung between 39% and 44% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 44% now.
S Illinois' win probability against Illinois St has swung between 46% and 51% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 51% now.