Michigan at Penn St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Michigan by 14.32
TOTAL POINTS
158
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Penn St
Michigan 
|
86
B
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
86
B
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
88
B+
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
80
B-
|
Defensive |
96
A
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Penn St
Michigan
| 127 | Overall | 5 |
| 124 | Power | 7 |
| 108 | Offensive | 8 |
| 175 | Defensive | 28 |
| 85 | SoS (Current) | 6 |
| 80 | SoS (Full Season) | 6 |
Michigan#583%
Penn St#12717%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Michigan 83%, Penn St 17% at Penn St.
Michigan's win probability against Penn St is trending down — from 96% to 83% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan's win probability against Penn St is trending down — from 97% to 87% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan's win probability against Penn St is trending down — from 98% to 90% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan favored
Penn St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Penn St | Neutral | At Michigan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 95% | 97% | 97% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 97% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 83% | 87% | 90% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Penn St
Michigan
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
12-20 (37.5%) |
Overall |
37-3 (92.5%) |
|
9-7 (56.3%) |
Home |
14-1 (93.3%) |
|
2-9 (18.2%) |
Away |
11-0 (100%) |
|
0-8 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
13-3 (81.3%) |
|
4-12 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
26-3 (89.7%) |
|
8-8 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-0 (100%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Penn St
Michigan
| #29 Iowa | Best Win | #2 Arizona |
| #112 Pittsburgh | Worst Loss | #22 Wisconsin |
| 44 pts vs #317 New Haven | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #236 La Salle |
| 41 pts vs #1 Michigan | Largest MOD | 8 pts vs #5 Purdue |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Penn St
Michigan
| 73.7 | Points per Game | 87.3 |
| 79.3 | Points Against | 69.5 |
| 77.2 | Home PPG | 92.9 |
| 76.7 | Home PA | 67.7 |
| 72.5 | Away PPG | 82.1 |
| 85.2 | Away PA | 71.5 |
| 611-467 | Opponent Record | 880-500 |
| 107.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 58.4 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | W 14 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | W 6 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Penn St
Michigan
| Mar 10 | Northwestern (15-19) | L66-76 | Apr 6 | #4 Connecticut (34-6) | W69-63 |
| Mar 8 | at Rutgers (14-20) | L62-74 | Apr 4 | #2 Arizona (36-3) | W91-73 |
| Mar 4 | vs Ohio St (21-13) | L62-94 | Mar 29 | #19 Tennessee (25-12) | W95-62 |
| Feb 28 | vs Iowa (25-13) | W71-69 | Mar 27 | #14 Alabama (25-10) | W90-77 |
| Feb 21 | at #15 Nebraska (28-7) | L64-87 | Mar 21 | St Louis (28-6) | W95-72 |
| Feb 18 | vs Rutgers (14-20) | L72-85 | Mar 19 | Howard (20-11) | W101-80 |
| Feb 14 | at Oregon (12-20) | L72-83 | Mar 15 | #5 Purdue (30-9) | L72-80 |
| Feb 11 | at Washington (16-17) | W63-60 | Mar 14 | #22 Wisconsin (24-11) | W68-65 |
| Feb 8 | vs USC (17-14) | L75-77 | Mar 13 | Ohio St (21-13) | W71-67 |
| Feb 5 | at #1 Michigan (37-3) | L69-110 | Mar 8 | vs #9 Michigan St (27-8) | W90-80 |