Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Ohio
Illinois St
|
76
C
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
75
C
|
Power |
89
B+
|
|
83
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
81
B-
6099
|
|
Ohio
6099
Illinois St
6099
|
||
|
68
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
Ohio
6099
Illinois St
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
86
B
|
Ohio
Illinois St
| 216 | Overall | 94 |
| 223 | Power | 97 |
| 147 | Offensive | 169 |
| 295 | Defensive | 52 |
| 159 | SoS (Current) | 123 |
| 159 | SoS (Future) | 123 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Illinois St 76%, Ohio 24% at Ohio.
Illinois St's win probability against Ohio has held at 76% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Illinois St's win probability against Ohio has held at 83% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Illinois St's win probability against Ohio has held at 89% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Ohio | Neutral | At Illinois St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 46% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 1 | 40% | 50% | 60% |
| Wk 2 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 3 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 4 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 5 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 6 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 7 | 73% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 8 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 9 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 10 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 11 | 72% | 79% | 86% |
| Wk 12 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 13 | 78% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 14 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 15 | 78% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 16 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 17 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 18 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 19 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 20 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 21 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 22 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 23 | 76% | 83% | 89% |
| Wk 24 | 76% | 83% | 89% |
Ohio
Illinois St
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
13-17 (43.3%) |
Overall |
22-13 (62.9%) |
|
8-6 (57.1%) |
Home |
13-2 (86.7%) |
|
4-8 (33.3%) |
Away |
7-7 (50%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
5-14 (26.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-9 (59.1%) |
|
8-3 (72.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-4 (69.2%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Ohio
Illinois St
| #94 Illinois St | Best Win | #57 Dayton |
| #287 Ball St | Worst Loss | #296 Evansville |
| 22 pts vs #354 Maine | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #171 Coastal Car |
| 30 pts vs #30 St Mary's CA | Largest MOD | 27 pts vs #141 IL Chicago |
Ohio
Illinois St
| 76.7 | Points per Game | 74.1 |
| 80 | Points Against | 69.1 |
| 79.4 | Home PPG | 78.5 |
| 77.3 | Home PA | 61.1 |
| 74.9 | Away PPG | 71.6 |
| 82.3 | Away PA | 74 |
| 494-437 | Opponent Record | 581-546 |
| 179.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 159.9 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Ohio
Illinois St
| Mar 12 | Kent (22-10) | L75-86 | Apr 2 | Auburn (22-16) | L66-88 |
| Mar 6 | vs Miami OH (29-2) | L108-110 | Mar 25 | at Dayton (25-12) | W61-55 |
| Mar 3 | at Massachusetts (16-16) | L82-94 | Mar 22 | at Wake Forest (18-17) | W78-75 |
| Feb 28 | vs Toledo (17-15) | L67-79 | Mar 18 | vs Kent (22-10) | W79-58 |
| Feb 21 | at N Illinois (7-21) | W74-66 | Mar 6 | Northern Iowa (22-13) | L52-74 |
| Feb 17 | vs Ball St (10-19) | W69-57 | Mar 1 | vs Belmont (25-6) | W81-74 |
| Feb 13 | at Miami OH (29-2) | L74-90 | Feb 25 | at Northern Iowa (22-13) | W71-69 |
| Feb 7 | at Old Dominion (11-21) | L72-78 | Feb 21 | at Bradley (20-13) | L60-74 |
| Feb 3 | vs W Michigan (9-20) | W91-71 | Feb 18 | vs Murray St (20-13) | W78-61 |
| Jan 31 | at Buffalo (15-15) | W95-83 | Feb 15 | at IL Chicago (17-16) | L56-83 |
vs
College Basketball