NC State at North Carolina Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Carolina by 3.96
TOTAL POINTS
158
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
NC State
North Carolina 
|
94
A
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
97
A+
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
96
A
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
NC State
North Carolina
| 50 | Overall | 19 |
| 34 | Power | 25 |
| 17 | Offensive | 36 |
| 90 | Defensive | 33 |
| 61 | SoS (Current) | 12 |
| 61 | SoS (Full Season) | 12 |
North Carolina#1962%
NC State#5038%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: North Carolina 62%, NC State 38% at North Carolina.
North Carolina's win probability against NC State has held at 47% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina's win probability against NC State is trending down — from 57% to 54% over the last 6 updates.
North Carolina's win probability against NC State has held at 62% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina favored
NC State favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At NC State | Neutral | At North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 41% | 49% | 56% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 47% | 55% | 62% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 49% | 57% | 64% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 49% | 57% | 64% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 48% | 56% | 63% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 48% | 56% | 63% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 48% | 56% | 63% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 48% | 56% | 63% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 47% | 54% | 62% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
NC State
North Carolina
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
20-14 (58.8%) |
Overall |
24-9 (72.7%) |
|
11-6 (64.7%) |
Home |
18-0 (100%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Away |
4-6 (40%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus Top 25 |
3-2 (60%) |
|
11-12 (47.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-9 (59.1%) |
|
9-2 (81.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-0 (100%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
NC State
North Carolina
| #23 North Carolina | Best Win | #3 Duke |
| #176 Georgia Tech | Worst Loss | #66 California |
| 48 pts vs #335 NC Central | Largest MOV | 48 pts vs #240 East Carolina |
| 41 pts vs #27 Louisville | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #49 NC State |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
NC State
North Carolina
| 83.2 | Points per Game | 79.7 |
| 76.3 | Points Against | 71.6 |
| 84 | Home PPG | 83.6 |
| 70.6 | Home PA | 66.4 |
| 83.4 | Away PPG | 75.6 |
| 83.6 | Away PA | 79.2 |
| 668-465 | Opponent Record | 663-437 |
| 88.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 95.5 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
NC State
North Carolina
| Mar 17 | Texas (20-15) | L66-68 | Mar 19 | VCU (28-8) | L78-82 |
| Mar 12 | #13 Virginia (30-6) | L74-81 | Mar 12 | Clemson (24-11) | L79-80 |
| Mar 11 | Pittsburgh (13-20) | W98-88 | Mar 7 | at #3 Duke (35-3) | L61-76 |
| Mar 7 | vs Stanford (20-13) | L84-85 | Mar 3 | vs Clemson (24-11) | W67-63 |
| Mar 2 | vs #3 Duke (35-3) | L64-93 | Feb 28 | vs Virginia Tech (19-13) | W89-82 |
| Feb 28 | at Notre Dame (13-18) | L90-96 | Feb 23 | vs Louisville (24-11) | W77-74 |
| Feb 24 | at #13 Virginia (30-6) | L61-90 | Feb 21 | at Syracuse (15-17) | W77-64 |
| Feb 17 | vs #23 North Carolina (24-9) | W82-58 | Feb 17 | at NC State (20-14) | L58-82 |
| Feb 14 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | L76-77 | Feb 14 | vs Pittsburgh (13-20) | W79-65 |
| Feb 9 | at Louisville (24-11) | L77-118 | Feb 10 | at Miami FL (26-9) | L66-75 |