Kentucky vs North Carolina Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Kentucky by 0.55
TOTAL POINTS
153
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Kentucky
North Carolina 
|
96
A
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
96
A
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
96
A
|
Defensive |
96
A
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Kentucky
North Carolina
| 30 | Overall | 19 |
| 22 | Power | 25 |
| 32 | Offensive | 36 |
| 29 | Defensive | 33 |
| 31 | SoS (Current) | 12 |
| 31 | SoS (Full Season) | 12 |
Kentucky#3052%
North Carolina#1948%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Kentucky 52%, North Carolina 48% at a neutral site.
Kentucky's win probability against North Carolina has held at 44% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Kentucky's win probability against North Carolina has held at 52% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Kentucky's win probability against North Carolina has held at 59% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Kentucky favored
North Carolina favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At North Carolina | Neutral | At Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 45% | 52% | 60% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 45% | 53% | 60% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 44% | 51% | 59% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 44% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 45% | 53% | 60% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 44% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 44% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 44% | 52% | 59% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 44% | 52% | 59% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Kentucky
North Carolina
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
22-14 (61.1%) |
Overall |
24-9 (72.7%) |
|
14-4 (77.8%) |
Home |
18-0 (100%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Away |
4-6 (40%) |
|
5-9 (35.7%) |
Versus Top 25 |
3-2 (60%) |
|
11-14 (44%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-9 (59.1%) |
|
11-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Kentucky
North Carolina
| #7 St John's | Best Win | #3 Duke |
| #51 Missouri | Worst Loss | #66 California |
| 50 pts vs #315 Tennessee Tech | Largest MOV | 48 pts vs #240 East Carolina |
| 35 pts vs #16 Gonzaga | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #49 NC State |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Kentucky
North Carolina
| 80.5 | Points per Game | 79.7 |
| 74.3 | Points Against | 71.6 |
| 85.8 | Home PPG | 83.6 |
| 67.9 | Home PA | 66.4 |
| 77.1 | Away PPG | 75.6 |
| 82 | Away PA | 79.2 |
| 745-472 | Opponent Record | 663-437 |
| 86.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 95.5 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Kentucky
North Carolina
| Mar 22 | #12 Iowa St (29-8) | L63-82 | Mar 19 | VCU (28-8) | L78-82 |
| Mar 20 | Santa Clara (25-9) | W89-84 | Mar 12 | Clemson (24-11) | L79-80 |
| Mar 13 | #8 Florida (27-8) | L63-71 | Mar 7 | at #3 Duke (35-3) | L61-76 |
| Mar 12 | Missouri (20-13) | W78-72 | Mar 3 | vs Clemson (24-11) | W67-63 |
| Mar 11 | LSU (15-17) | W87-82 | Feb 28 | vs Virginia Tech (19-13) | W89-82 |
| Mar 7 | vs #8 Florida (27-8) | L77-84 | Feb 23 | vs Louisville (24-11) | W77-74 |
| Mar 3 | at Texas A&M (22-12) | L85-96 | Feb 21 | at Syracuse (15-17) | W77-64 |
| Feb 28 | vs #18 Vanderbilt (27-9) | W91-77 | Feb 17 | at NC State (20-14) | L58-82 |
| Feb 24 | at South Carolina (13-19) | W72-63 | Feb 14 | vs Pittsburgh (13-20) | W79-65 |
| Feb 21 | at Auburn (22-16) | L74-75 | Feb 10 | at Miami FL (26-9) | L66-75 |