Illinois at North Carolina Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Illinois by 3.86
TOTAL POINTS
152
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
North Carolina
Illinois 
|
97
A+
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Defensive |
97
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
99
A+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
North Carolina
Illinois
| 19 | Overall | 8 |
| 25 | Power | 5 |
| 36 | Offensive | 10 |
| 33 | Defensive | 19 |
| 12 | SoS (Current) | 5 |
| 12 | SoS (Full Season) | 5 |
Illinois#861%
North Carolina#1939%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Illinois 61%, North Carolina 39% at North Carolina.
Illinois' win probability against North Carolina is trending down — from 64% to 61% over the last 6 updates.
Illinois' win probability against North Carolina is trending down — from 71% to 68% over the last 6 updates.
Illinois' win probability against North Carolina has held at 75% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Illinois favored
North Carolina favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At North Carolina | Neutral | At Illinois |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 65% | 71% | 77% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 63% | 70% | 76% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 64% | 71% | 77% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 62% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 65% | 71% | 77% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 66% | 73% | 79% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 66% | 72% | 78% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 66% | 72% | 78% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 61% | 68% | 75% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
North Carolina
Illinois
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
24-9 (72.7%) |
Overall |
28-9 (75.7%) |
|
18-0 (100%) |
Home |
14-3 (82.4%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Away |
7-2 (77.8%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Versus Top 25 |
5-9 (35.7%) |
|
13-9 (59.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
16-9 (64%) |
|
11-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
North Carolina
Illinois
| #3 Duke | Best Win | #5 Purdue |
| #66 California | Worst Loss | #24 UCLA |
| 48 pts vs #240 East Carolina | Largest MOV | 58 pts vs #284 Jackson St |
| 24 pts vs #49 NC State | Largest MOD | 14 pts vs #1 Michigan |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
North Carolina
Illinois
| 79.7 | Points per Game | 83.2 |
| 71.6 | Points Against | 68.8 |
| 83.6 | Home PPG | 86.1 |
| 66.4 | Home PA | 65.8 |
| 75.6 | Away PPG | 84.8 |
| 79.2 | Away PA | 76.1 |
| 663-437 | Opponent Record | 786-493 |
| 95.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 77.2 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 12 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
North Carolina
Illinois
| Mar 19 | VCU (28-8) | L78-82 | Apr 4 | #4 Connecticut (34-6) | L62-71 |
| Mar 12 | Clemson (24-11) | L79-80 | Mar 28 | Iowa (25-13) | W71-59 |
| Mar 7 | at #3 Duke (35-3) | L61-76 | Mar 26 | #6 Houston (30-7) | W65-55 |
| Mar 3 | vs Clemson (24-11) | W67-63 | Mar 21 | VCU (28-8) | W76-55 |
| Feb 28 | vs Virginia Tech (19-13) | W89-82 | Mar 19 | Penn (17-12) | W105-70 |
| Feb 23 | vs Louisville (24-11) | W77-74 | Mar 13 | #22 Wisconsin (24-11) | L88-91 |
| Feb 21 | at Syracuse (15-17) | W77-64 | Mar 8 | at Maryland (13-22) | W78-72 |
| Feb 17 | at NC State (20-14) | L58-82 | Mar 3 | vs Oregon (12-20) | W80-54 |
| Feb 14 | vs Pittsburgh (13-20) | W79-65 | Feb 27 | vs #1 Michigan (37-3) | L70-84 |
| Feb 10 | at Miami FL (26-9) | L66-75 | Feb 21 | at #24 UCLA (24-12) | L94-95 |