SMU at NC State Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
NC State by 2.99
TOTAL POINTS
163
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
SMU
NC State 
|
93
A-
|
Overall |
94
A
|
|
95
A
|
Power |
95
A
|
|
97
A+
|
Offensive |
97
A+
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
93
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
SMU
NC State
| 58 | Overall | 50 |
| 39 | Power | 34 |
| 19 | Offensive | 17 |
| 99 | Defensive | 90 |
| 78 | SoS (Current) | 61 |
| 78 | SoS (Full Season) | 61 |
NC State#5059%
SMU#5841%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: NC State 59%, SMU 41% at NC State.
NC State's win probability against SMU has held at 44% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
NC State's win probability against SMU has held at 51% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
NC State's win probability against SMU has held at 59% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
NC State favored
SMU favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At SMU | Neutral | At NC State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 43% | 51% | 58% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 43% | 51% | 58% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 44% | 51% | 59% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 42% | 50% | 57% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 44% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 44% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 44% | 52% | 59% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 44% | 52% | 59% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 44% | 51% | 59% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
SMU
NC State
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
20-14 (58.8%) |
Overall |
20-14 (58.8%) |
|
15-3 (83.3%) |
Home |
11-6 (64.7%) |
|
3-8 (27.3%) |
Away |
6-4 (60%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus Top 25 |
1-5 (16.7%) |
|
11-12 (47.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
11-12 (47.8%) |
|
9-2 (81.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-2 (81.8%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
2-8 (20%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
SMU
NC State
| #23 North Carolina | Best Win | #23 North Carolina |
| #97 Syracuse | Worst Loss | #176 Georgia Tech |
| 47 pts vs #161 CS Fullerton | Largest MOV | 48 pts vs #335 NC Central |
| 20 pts vs #63 Stanford | Largest MOD | 41 pts vs #27 Louisville |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
SMU
NC State
| 84.1 | Points per Game | 83.2 |
| 77.9 | Points Against | 76.3 |
| 89.6 | Home PPG | 84 |
| 75.8 | Home PA | 70.6 |
| 77.5 | Away PPG | 83.4 |
| 81.5 | Away PA | 83.6 |
| 656-458 | Opponent Record | 668-465 |
| 93.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 88.9 |
| W 8 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
SMU
NC State
| Mar 18 | Miami OH (29-2) | L79-89 | Mar 17 | Texas (20-15) | L66-68 |
| Mar 11 | Louisville (24-11) | L58-62 | Mar 12 | #13 Virginia (30-6) | L74-81 |
| Mar 10 | Syracuse (15-17) | W86-69 | Mar 11 | Pittsburgh (13-20) | W98-88 |
| Mar 7 | at Florida St (18-15) | L78-91 | Mar 7 | vs Stanford (20-13) | L84-85 |
| Mar 4 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | L69-77 | Mar 2 | vs #3 Duke (35-3) | L64-93 |
| Feb 28 | at Stanford (20-13) | L75-95 | Feb 28 | at Notre Dame (13-18) | L90-96 |
| Feb 25 | at California (21-12) | L69-73 | Feb 24 | at #13 Virginia (30-6) | L61-90 |
| Feb 21 | vs Boston College (11-20) | W94-70 | Feb 17 | vs #23 North Carolina (24-9) | W82-58 |
| Feb 17 | vs Louisville (24-11) | W95-85 | Feb 14 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | L76-77 |
| Feb 14 | at Syracuse (15-17) | L78-79 | Feb 9 | at Louisville (24-11) | L77-118 |