Louisville at NC State Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Louisville by 2.04
TOTAL POINTS
162
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
NC State
Louisville 
|
94
A
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
95
A
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
95
A
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
95
A
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
NC State
Louisville
| 50 | Overall | 24 |
| 34 | Power | 14 |
| 17 | Offensive | 11 |
| 90 | Defensive | 36 |
| 61 | SoS (Current) | 41 |
| 61 | SoS (Full Season) | 41 |
Louisville#2456%
NC State#5044%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Louisville 56%, NC State 44% at NC State.
Louisville's win probability against NC State is trending down — from 62% to 56% over the last 6 updates.
Louisville's win probability against NC State is trending down — from 69% to 63% over the last 6 updates.
Louisville's win probability against NC State is trending down — from 75% to 70% over the last 6 updates.
Louisville favored
NC State favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At NC State | Neutral | At Louisville |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 58% | 65% | 72% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 60% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 62% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 60% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 59% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 59% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 59% | 66% | 73% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 59% | 66% | 73% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 56% | 63% | 70% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
NC State
Louisville
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
20-14 (58.8%) |
Overall |
24-11 (68.6%) |
|
11-6 (64.7%) |
Home |
15-2 (88.2%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Away |
4-7 (36.4%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-7 (0%) |
|
11-12 (47.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
12-11 (52.2%) |
|
9-2 (81.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
NC State
Louisville
| #23 North Carolina | Best Win | #31 Miami FL |
| #176 Georgia Tech | Worst Loss | #63 Stanford |
| 48 pts vs #335 NC Central | Largest MOV | 59 pts vs #346 S Carolina St |
| 41 pts vs #27 Louisville | Largest MOD | 31 pts vs #3 Duke |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
NC State
Louisville
| 83.2 | Points per Game | 84.3 |
| 76.3 | Points Against | 72.5 |
| 84 | Home PPG | 90.9 |
| 70.6 | Home PA | 67.5 |
| 83.4 | Away PPG | 79.5 |
| 83.6 | Away PA | 80.5 |
| 668-465 | Opponent Record | 684-486 |
| 88.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 96.5 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
NC State
Louisville
| Mar 17 | Texas (20-15) | L66-68 | Mar 21 | #9 Michigan St (27-8) | L69-77 |
| Mar 12 | #13 Virginia (30-6) | L74-81 | Mar 19 | South Florida (24-9) | W83-79 |
| Mar 11 | Pittsburgh (13-20) | W98-88 | Mar 12 | Miami FL (26-9) | L73-78 |
| Mar 7 | vs Stanford (20-13) | L84-85 | Mar 11 | SMU (20-14) | W62-58 |
| Mar 2 | vs #3 Duke (35-3) | L64-93 | Mar 7 | at Miami FL (26-9) | W92-89 |
| Feb 28 | at Notre Dame (13-18) | L90-96 | Mar 3 | vs Syracuse (15-17) | W77-62 |
| Feb 24 | at #13 Virginia (30-6) | L61-90 | Feb 28 | at Clemson (24-11) | L75-80 |
| Feb 17 | vs #23 North Carolina (24-9) | W82-58 | Feb 23 | at #23 North Carolina (24-9) | L74-77 |
| Feb 14 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | L76-77 | Feb 21 | vs Georgia Tech (11-20) | W87-70 |
| Feb 9 | at Louisville (24-11) | L77-118 | Feb 17 | at SMU (20-14) | L85-95 |